2021
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008726
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Group testing as a strategy for COVID-19 epidemiological monitoring and community surveillance

Abstract: We propose an analysis and applications of sample pooling to the epidemiologic monitoring of COVID-19. We first introduce a model of the RT-qPCR process used to test for the presence of virus in a sample and construct a statistical model for the viral load in a typical infected individual inspired by large-scale clinical datasets. We present an application of group testing for the prevention of epidemic outbreak in closed connected communities. We then propose a method for the measure of the prevalence in a po… Show more

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Cited by 32 publications
(30 citation statements)
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References 69 publications
(125 reference statements)
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“…23,24 Lastly, an epidemic curve can be used to visually track the natural progression, as well as the effect of control measures on an epidemic. 25 Regarding COVID-19 specifically, this can be carried out with various degrees of precision, from simply monitoring the incidence of cases measured by virus detection methods, 26,27 through inferences via combining data from virus detection methods with seroprevalence studies 28 to more granular attempts to forecast trends via viral load distributions. 29…”
Section: Epidemiologymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…23,24 Lastly, an epidemic curve can be used to visually track the natural progression, as well as the effect of control measures on an epidemic. 25 Regarding COVID-19 specifically, this can be carried out with various degrees of precision, from simply monitoring the incidence of cases measured by virus detection methods, 26,27 through inferences via combining data from virus detection methods with seroprevalence studies 28 to more granular attempts to forecast trends via viral load distributions. 29…”
Section: Epidemiologymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For example, with the French population size, this would translate to 871,000 daily tests. Pooled sample testing strategies could be a solution to reduce the number of testing kits needed, and is a particularly reasonable option when the positive testing rate is very low (Brault et al, 2021), i.e., when the prevalence of infected individuals in a community is close to zero.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We find that for a cluster size to be below 30 infected individuals (on average), each day around 0.13% of a total population would need to be randomly selected for testing, i.e., independently of the individual’s infection status. Pooled sample testing strategies could be a solution to reduce the number of testing kits needed, and is a particularly reasonable option when the prevalence of infected individuals in a community is close to zero [33].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Nevertheless, individual screening of large asymptomatic cohorts by RNA extraction and RT-qPCR can be expensive and wasteful when pathogens are present in the population at low carriage rates. As recommended by the FDA ( and accessed on 15 May 2021), sample pooling could be an important public health tool to increase testing capacity because it allows for more individuals to be analyzed rapidly at once, using fewer testing resources [ 13 , 14 , 15 , 16 ]. Moreover, this may be even more relevant if the screening involves a community, such as a school or a faculty returning to work or class, in order to promptly implement preventive measures if needed.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%