2004
DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2004.01.001
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Growth and shocks: evidence from rural Ethiopia

Abstract: Using panel data from rural Ethiopia, the article discusses the determinants of consumption growth (1989 -1997), based on a microgrowth model, controlling for heterogeneity. Consumption grew substantially, but with diverse experiences across villages and individuals. Rainfall shocks have a substantial impact on consumption growth, which persists for many years. There also is a persistent growth impact from the large-scale famine in the 1980s, as well as substantial externalities from road infrastructure. The p… Show more

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Cited by 524 publications
(260 citation statements)
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References 32 publications
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“…The fundamental premise that climatic changes affect human migration patterns has largely not been disputed. The existence of such relationships has been shown across many studies (Bohra-Mishra et al, 2014; Gray & Mueller, 2012a; Hunter et al, 2013; Hunter et al, 2015; Mueller et al, 2014; Nawrotzki et al, 2015), and is consistent with prior work linking climate anomalies to short-term welfare losses in many developing countries (Paxson, 1992; Jalan & Ravallion, 1999; Dercon, 2004; Kazianga & Udry, 2006). However, recent research has underlined a number of complexities and contingencies with respect to climate effects on migration.…”
Section: Climate and Migrationsupporting
confidence: 85%
“…The fundamental premise that climatic changes affect human migration patterns has largely not been disputed. The existence of such relationships has been shown across many studies (Bohra-Mishra et al, 2014; Gray & Mueller, 2012a; Hunter et al, 2013; Hunter et al, 2015; Mueller et al, 2014; Nawrotzki et al, 2015), and is consistent with prior work linking climate anomalies to short-term welfare losses in many developing countries (Paxson, 1992; Jalan & Ravallion, 1999; Dercon, 2004; Kazianga & Udry, 2006). However, recent research has underlined a number of complexities and contingencies with respect to climate effects on migration.…”
Section: Climate and Migrationsupporting
confidence: 85%
“…This implies that smallholder farmers who have off-farm income opportunities were less likely to face agricultural production and marketing shocks because they did not rely entirely on such activities for their household income and food. This entirely depended on the proportion of off-farm income to total household income, and the opportunity cost of being engaged in farming activities because 6 In this study, modern types of irrigation systems include drip, sprinkler and pot irrigation methods, while the traditional irrigation types include basin, furrow and strip irrigation methods. Agricultural Sciences such opportunities act as an alternative to agricultural production activities.…”
Section: Determinants Of the Decision To Cope With Production And Marmentioning
confidence: 94%
“…Access to irrigation is a commonly used variable in the literature about shocks and coping strategies [10] [39]. In our study, particular attention was paid to the type of irrigation system that AIV producers use for production 6 . This is because modern irrigation technologies save water and are therefore efficient and effective at combating the negative effects of shocks when compared to traditional types.…”
Section: Determinants Of the Decision To Cope With Production And Marmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Furthermore, the increased frequency of extreme events is likely to reduce investments and input use and augment the proportion of low-risk subsistence activities, lowering farm productivity and profit (Porter et al 2014;Lipper et al 2014), as such causing an impact that may be stronger than that of changes in mean climate. Moreover, when a shock strikes, its impacts on assets, income and food security may be felt over prolonged periods, increasing the likelihood of smallholders falling into poverty traps (Dercon 2004). On the other side, modern technologies, new ways of information sharing and access to off-farm income provide options for farmers to adjust to changes in climate and the broader socio-economic context.…”
Section: Vulnerability Of Smallholder Crop-livestock Systemsmentioning
confidence: 99%