Growth in a finite world—a comprehensive sensitivity analysis

Vermeulen, P.J.; Jongh, D.C.J. de

doi:10.1016/0005-1098(77)90010-3

Cited by 19 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 3 publications

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“…The 1973 oil crisis amplified the message, but not all critics were convinced by the reliability of the methodologies or the feasibility of the suggestions for changing our ways. 169 Half a century later the Club of Rome was still on the same message. 170 Although some of the early predictions had turned out to be overly pessimistic, their fiftieth-anniversary report Transformation Is Feasible reiterated the main claims.…”

Section: From Management To Conservationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Roles of Justice in Bioethics

Häyry

2022

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This Element traces the origins and development of bioethics, the principles and values involved in the discipline, and the roles of justice among these principles and values. The main tasks given to the concept of justice have since the late 1970s been nondiscrimination in research, prioritization in medical practice, and redistribution in healthcare. The Element argues that in a world challenged by planet-wide political and environmental threats this is not sufficient. The nature and meaning of justice has to be rethought. The Element does this by dissecting current bioethical approaches in the light of theories of justice as partly clashing interpretations of equality. The overall findings are twofold. Seen against the background of global concerns, justice in bioethics has become a silent guardian of economic sustainability. Seen against the same background, we should set our aims higher. Justice can, and must, be put to better use than it presently is. This title is also available as Open Access on Cambridge Core.

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Section: From Management To Conservationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Roles of Justice in Bioethics

Häyry

2022

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“…His approach is more general from the point of view of the "theory of models", with a touch of epistemological flavor. His reference to Meadows' model is very short; he attacks it from a "pure systemtheoretic" angle, and he mentions Vermeulen and de Jongh (1977), who observe that "…the mathematical model basic to the results of The Limits to Growth has been found to be very sensitive to small perturbations". On the sensitivity of Meadows' model to changes in parameters and initial conditions, and on the issue of model's validation against historical data see Castro (2012).…”

Section: 3mentioning

confidence: 99%

Computer-Based Global Models: From Early Experiences to Complex Systems

Castro¹

2015

JASSS

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During the 1960s but mainly in the 1970s, large mathematical dynamic global models were implemented in computers to simulate the entire world, or large portions of it. Several different but interrelated subjects were considered simultaneously, and their variables evolved over time in an attempt to forecast the future, considering decades as time horizons. Global models continued to be developed while evidencing an increasing bias towards environmental aspects, or at least the public impact of models with such a focus became prevalent. In this paper we analyze the early evolution of computer-based global modeling and provide insights on less known pioneering works by South American modelers in the 1960s (Varsavsky and collaborators). We revisit relevant methodological aspects and discuss how they influenced different modeling endeavors. Finally, we overview how distinctive systemic approaches in global modeling evolved into the currently well-established discipline of complex systems.

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“…Supongamos que g satisface (28) y a y l estan definidas por (30), entonces se obtienen las siguientes estimativas.…”

Section: Lemaunclassified

“…His approach is more general from the point of view of the "theory of models", with a touch of epistemological flavor. His reference to Meadows' model is very short; he attacks it from a "pure system-theoretic" angle, and he mentions Vermeulen and de Jongh [30], who observe that "...the mathematical model basic to the results of The Limits to Growth has been found to be very sensitive to small perturbations". On the sensitivity of Meadows' model to changes in parameters and initial conditions, and on the issue of model's validation against historical data see [31].…”

Section: The First World Modelsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Untitled

2014

MAT

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cuyo objetivo es contribuir a la difusión de conocimientos y resultados matemáticos. Se compone de dos series:  Serie A: CONFERENCIAS, SEMINARIOS Y TRABAJOS DE MATEMATICA.  Serie B: CURSOS Y SEMINARIOS PARA EDUCACION MATEMATICA. La Serie A contiene trabajos originales de investigación y/o recapitulación que presenten una exposición interesante y actualizada de algunos aspectos de la Matemática, además de cursos, conferencias, seminarios y congresos realizados en el Departamento de Matemática. El Director, los miembros del Comité Editorial y Científico y/o los árbitros que ellos designen serán los encargados de dictaminar sobre los merecimientos de los artículos que se publiquen. La Serie B se compone de cursos especialmente diseñados para profesores de Matemática de cada uno de los niveles de educación: Primaria, Secundaria, Terciaria y Universitaria. IV 2009). On this occasion this tradition was prolifically continued, being the first meeting held in Argentina. This year's event was very excited to welcome a number of prominent mathematicians from different countries of the world, including Argentina,

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Growth in a finite world—a comprehensive sensitivity analysis

Cited by 19 publications

References 3 publications

Roles of Justice in Bioethics

Roles of Justice in Bioethics

Computer-Based Global Models: From Early Experiences to Complex Systems

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