Guns to butter: sociotropic concerns and foreign policy preferences in Russia

Snegovaya, Maria

doi:10.1080/1060586x.2020.1750912

Cited by 11 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 32 publications

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“…The recent decline of world market price for crude oil seems to have been much deeper and may turn out to last much longer than the Kremlin probably intended to. If one believes recent research on a causal link between economic well‐being—largely determined, in Russia, by world energy prices—and a Russian inclination toward foreign adventurism, this should be good news for countries like Ukraine (Snegovaya 2020a, 2020b). Also, as a result of the deep impact of the drop in energy prices and pandemic on Russia's economic and social life, there is now an increasing likelihood that a disruption of Putin's regime may, at some point in the future, happen (Kragh 2020; Shagina 2020).…”

Section: Russia's Weakening As a Results Of The Corona Crisismentioning

confidence: 99%

Geopolitical Implications and Challenges of the Coronavirus Crisis for Ukraine

Klimkin

Umland

2020

World Affairs

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Among various geopolitical repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic are redefinitions of the short-term priorities of many international organizations. Among others, the European Union (EU) and North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) are becoming absorbed by new internal challenges, and are thus even less interested in further enlargement than before. Against this background, Kyiv, Tbilisi, and Chisinau, as well as their Western friends, need to seek new paths to increase the three countries’ security, resilience, and growth before their accession to the West’s major organizations. Above all, an alternative way to decrease Ukraine’s current institutional isolation is to develop more intense bilateral relations with friendly states across the globe, including Germany and the United States. In Eastern Europe, moreover, Ukraine, Georgia, and Moldova should attempt to create new multilateral networks with post-communist member countries of NATO as well as the EU, and try to become part of such structures as the Three Seas Initiative or Bucharest Nine group.

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Section: Russia's Weakening As a Results Of The Corona Crisismentioning

confidence: 99%

Geopolitical Implications and Challenges of the Coronavirus Crisis for Ukraine

Klimkin

Umland

2020

World Affairs

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“…The seemingly considerable potential of unused Western sanctions should be seen in connection to two other recent empirical studies by Maria Snegovaya (2020aSnegovaya ( , 2020b, a Russian political economist living in Washington, D.C.. Snegovaya has demonstrated a correlation of Russian expansionist sentiments with the income from energy exports, as well as the country's related general socioeconomic situation. The aggressiveness of Russian presidents' foreign policy rhetoric is positively related to the level of oil prices and thus Russia's export revenues as well as the general economic situation (Snegovaya 2020a).…”

Section: The Unused Power Of Sanctionsmentioning

confidence: 86%

“…The aggressiveness of Russian presidents' foreign policy rhetoric is positively related to the level of oil prices and thus Russia's export revenues as well as the general economic situation (Snegovaya 2020a). Moreover, Russia's population's mood is more enterprising in foreign affairs in times of good socioeconomic development (Snegovaya 2020b). While these studies do not directly address the issue of sanctions, they indicate that economic performance and their social effects are important issues for the foreign political thinking of both the elite and population of Russia.…”

Section: The Unused Power Of Sanctionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Commentary – Should Washington Have Pressed Kyiv Into a Compromise With Moscow?

Umland

2022

World Affairs

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This article was submitted in late 2021, and became dated after Russia's demonstrative preparation as well as start of an open, large-scale invasion of Ukraine early 2022. We nevertheless publish this commentary here in order to document the debate about the events leading to the escalation. No adaptations to the original 2021 article were made after the outbreak of high-intensity war on 24 February 2022. Avoiding a larger military escalation in the Russian–Ukrainian conflict is an important aim. Yet, historical experience suggests that concessions by Ukraine or its Western partners toward Russian revanchist aspirations in the Donbas may not help achieve it. On the contrary, Western softness, and Ukrainian weakness vis-à-vis the Kremlin will lead to further confrontation.

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“…Existing research on Post-Soviet politics and policy-making (Dollbaum 2020;Magaloni 2008;Noble 2020;Schlaufer 2021;Snegovaya 2020;Williamson and Magaloni 2020) suggests that public statements about bureaucracy accommodate two diff erent legitimation strategies: blame and praise. Both legitimation strategies are a creative response to the uncertainties of authoritarian rule (Schedler 2013, 21 -22).…”

Section: Theoretical Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

Leadership Discourses on Bureaucracy: Continuity over a Century

Jäkel

Borshchevskiy

2021

NISPAcee Journal of Public Administration and Policy

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Politicians in all types of regimes require bureaucracy to extend their rule over society. To prevent administrators from becoming too powerful and publicly signal independence, they seemingly arbitrarily criticize public officials. But when and how do political leaders blame bureaucracy – and when do they praise it ? This study uses Russia as a case to illustrate the complex and ambiguous politics-administration relationship in non-Western regimes. We argue that public statements about bureaucracy accommodate two different legitimation strategies. We provide a content analysis of 311 public statements, from 1917 – 2017, on the role of administration in the country’s development. We find that attention to administrative affairs coincides with major political changes and periods of political instability in the history of Soviet and post-Soviet Russia. Over a century, the rhetoric of Russian leaders oscillated between blaming and praising bureaucracy to secure stability and overcome obstacles in implementing governing strategies. The strategic interplay between assertive rhetoric and praising bureaucracy is part of an effective political leadership survival strategy.

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Guns to butter: sociotropic concerns and foreign policy preferences in Russia

Cited by 11 publications

References 32 publications

Geopolitical Implications and Challenges of the Coronavirus Crisis for Ukraine

Geopolitical Implications and Challenges of the Coronavirus Crisis for Ukraine

Commentary – Should Washington Have Pressed Kyiv Into a Compromise With Moscow?

Leadership Discourses on Bureaucracy: Continuity over a Century

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