Have U.S. Gun Buyback Programs Misfired?

Ferrazares, Toshio; Sabia, Joseph J.; Anderson, D. Mark

doi:10.3386/w28763

2021

DOI: 10.3386/w28763

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Have U.S. Gun Buyback Programs Misfired?

Toshio Ferrazares

Joseph J. Sabia

D. Mark Anderson

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2023

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Cited by 3 publications

References 27 publications

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The effect of gun buy‐back law reform on homicides and suicides in Australia

Duenow,

Connelly

2023

Health Economics

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In this paper we use the synthetic control method (SCM) to estimate the causal effects of a national legislative reform accompanied by mandatory gun buy‐backs in Australia on both suicide and homicide rates. Using a rich international dataset, we are able to separate not only these two death types, but also to distinguish deaths by firearm and by other means, thereby enabling us to test substitution‐of‐means hypotheses. Specifically, we apply the SCM to determine whether any reductions in firearm‐related death rates where wholly or partly offset by increases in the use of other means (e.g., bladed weapons, poisons) to commit suicides and perpetrate homicides. Our findings show that these gun control policies substantially reduced both homicides and suicides by firearm, but also some evidence of other‐means substitution.

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The effect of gun buy‐back law reform on homicides and suicides in Australia

Duenow,

Connelly

2023

Health Economics

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Quasi-experimental study finding no localised gun crime or call reduction after gun buybacks in Philadelphia

Ratcliffe,

Huffer

2023

Inj Prev

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IntroductionGun buyback programmes have been popular in the USA since the 1970s. Studies show that they have no effect on citywide gun crime rates, but more microlevel examinations around gun buyback locations have not been conducted. This study tests for local effects of 34 Philadelphia, PA buyback events at 30 locations between 2019 and 2021.MethodsWe analysed all gun-related crime events and gun-related calls for service attended by the police from 2019 to 2021. Multilevel models with an autoregressive residual structure were estimated on weekly gun crime and call event intensity (inverse distance weighted) totals across a range of distances (4000–8000 feet). Impacts of a gun buyback event were estimated for 1–4 weeks postevent.ResultsStatistically significant weekly increases in gun event intensity are associated with seasonality and after the murder of George Floyd. Gun event intensity was not significantly affected by gun buybacks. Across 20 sensitivity tests of different distances and time periods (4000–8000 feet and between 1 and 4 weeks), gun buybacks were not statistically associated with any localised reduction in the intensity of gun crimes and calls.ConclusionsExtant research has failed to uncover any effect of gun buybacks on citywide gun crime rates. The current results now contribute a lack of evidence at the local level to this literature. While gun buybacks remain popular with politicians and the public, this study adds to the ongoing question of whether buyback funds could be better spent more effectively.

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Promoting Responsible Disposal of Opioids: A Randomized Evaluation of Behaviorally Informed Messaging Combined with a Financial Incentive

Toma,

Burnett,

Debroy

et al. 2023

SSRN Journal

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Have U.S. Gun Buyback Programs Misfired?

Cited by 3 publications

References 27 publications

The effect of gun buy‐back law reform on homicides and suicides in Australia

The effect of gun buy‐back law reform on homicides and suicides in Australia

Quasi-experimental study finding no localised gun crime or call reduction after gun buybacks in Philadelphia

Promoting Responsible Disposal of Opioids: A Randomized Evaluation of Behaviorally Informed Messaging Combined with a Financial Incentive

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