Objective. To test the hypothesis that care typology -being complex and highly unpredictable versus being clear-cut and highly predictable -guides healthcare payment preferences of physicians, policy makers, healthcare executives, and researchers.Data Sources/Study Setting. We collected survey data from 942 stakeholders across Canada, Europe, Oceania, and the United States. Forty-eight international societies invited their members to participate in our study.
Study Design.Cross-sectional analysis of stakeholder survey data linked to four scenarios of care typology: primary prevention, trial-and-error care, standard care and network care.Principal Findings. We identified two "extremes": (1) dominant preferences of physicians, who embraced fee for service (FFS), even when this precludes the advantages of other payment systems associated with a minimal risk of harm (OR 1.85 for primary prevention; OR 1.89 for standard care, compared to non-physicians); and (2) the dominant preferences of healthcare executives and researchers, who supported quality bonus or adjustment (OR 1.92) and capitation (OR 2.05), respectively, even when these could cause harm.
Conclusions.Based on explorative findings, we can cautiously state that payment reform will prove to be difficult as long as physicians, healthcare executives, and researchers misalign payment systems with the nature of care. Replication studies are needed to (dis)confirm our findings within representative subsamples per area and stakeholder group.