Numerous population-based studies have demonstrated an association between hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL), 1,2 pointing to the possibility that HCV plays a role in the development of this malignancy. The Scandinavia Lymphoma Etiology (SCALE) study, reported in this issue of the International Journal of Cancer, adds to the accumulating body of epidemiological evidence supporting this association. The large sample size (2,819 NHL cases and 1,856 controls), comprehensive population-based recruitment strategy, rapid case ascertainment, and detailed classification of NHL subtypes make SCALE one of the most comprehensive case-control studies to date. One limitation of the SCALE study was the very low prevalence of HCV infection (0.4% of controls, even when the investigators included individuals with intermediate serologic evidence for infection), which limited the power and precision of some statistical analyses. HCV seropositivity was associated, although not significantly, with overall NHL risk (OR 2.2, 95% CI 0.9-5.3), and was significantly associated with risk of B-cell lymphomas (OR 2.4, 95% CI 1.0-5.8), specifically lymphoplasmacytic lymphoma (OR 5.2, 95% CI 1.0-26.4). The findings of the SCALE study are consistent with the prior literature, which now includes multiple case-control studies and several cohort studies, most of which find a positive association between HCV infection and NHL.
1,2Given the repeated demonstration of an association, the question arises whether HCV infection is actually a cause of NHL. Bradford Hill in his landmark paper, ''The Environment and Disease: Association or Causation,'' suggested 9 criteria to consider when assessing causation. 3 In Table I, we use these criteria to review the existing evidence for a causal relationship between HCV and NHL. Although Schollkopf et al. discuss some of this evidence in relation to their findings in the accompanying article, the table organized around the Bradford Hill criteria provides a useful framework to evaluate the epidemiological and experimental evidence more formally.It is useful to begin with a consideration of the biological plausibility of a causal relationship, based on what we know about HCV infection and the etiology of NHL. In most individuals, HCV manifests as chronic liver infection, which can eventually develop into cirrhosis. 4 This chronic infection leads to chronic stimulation of the immune system and has been associated with the development of immune-related disorders, such as essential mixed (Type II) cryoglobulinemia, 4,5 which can itself progress to B-cell NHL.5 HCV envelope protein E2 binds to CD81 on the cell surface of B lymphocytes, lowering their activation threshold. 6,7 With continued stimulation of the immune system, B lymphocytes may develop DNA mutations, perhaps through the action of activation-induced cytidine deaminase, leading to transformation. Also, HCV-infected individuals have an elevated frequency of circulating lymphocytes with chromosomal translocations involving the ...