Hidden geographies of population implosion in Bosnia and Herzegovina

Gekıć, Haris; Herzegovina,; Bidžan-Gekić, Aida; Mirić, Ranko; Reményi, Péter

doi:10.48088/ejg.h.gek.11.2.47.64

Cited by 6 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 9 publications

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“…Population ageing is influenced by a variety of factors, including demographic, economic, social, environmental, health, and health care (Wan et al, 2022;Beard & Bloom, 2015;Almedia de Melo et al, 2010). Various studies have shown that numerous variables contribute to population ageing disparities in different areas of Bosnia and Herzegovina, with social, economic, and political factors being the most significant (Gekic et al, 2020;Gekic et al, 2021;Kadusic, Suljic, 2018). These factors have had a considerable impact on the demographic patterns and processes of Bosnia and Herzegovina's population at the beginning of the 21st century.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…However, several studies on Bosnia and Herzegovina's demographic trends have been conducted. For example, Gekic et al (2020) studied depopulation trends in Bosnia and Herzegovina at the end of the 20th and beginning of the 21st centuries, whereas Gekic et al (2019) researched spatial differentiation of the age structure of the population in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Mijic & Ateljevic (2018) studied the use of contemporary GIS software in demographic research of the Bosnian entity of the Republic of Srpska.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Geospatial analysis of population ageing in Bosnia and Herzegovina

Kadusic¹,

Smajic²,

Kunosić³

et al. 2023

Geographica Pannonica

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The aim of this research is to analyze the spatial distribution of the population ageing in Bosnia and Herzegovina and identify areas of the country that are particularly vulnerable to negative demographic trends. To achieve the goal of the study, data on the ageing coefficient and ageing index for the period 2013-2020 were used. The geospatial analysis of these indicators was performed using global (Global Moran's I and Getis-Ord General G) and local (Anselin Local Moran's I and Getis-Ord G*) indexes of spatial autocorrelation. The research results confirmed the clustering of both indicators. Ageing coefficient values are clustered in municipalities in western, northwestern, Eastern, and central Bosnia and Herzegovina. Ageing index values are clustered in municipalities in central, western, northwestern, and northeastern Bosnia and Herzegovina. This study provides insight into the research methods of spatial demographic trends and phenomena, and its findings can serve as a basis for future demographic research and development in Bosnia and Herzegovina.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Geospatial analysis of population ageing in Bosnia and Herzegovina

Kadusic¹,

Smajic²,

Kunosić³

et al. 2023

Geographica Pannonica

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“…In addition to unemployment, inadequacy of the education system, depressing political situation, and the lack of prospects for a better future have all contributed to the mass emigration of young people. Existential problems of the youth also have a strong impact on having fewer children than desired (Gekić et al 2020).…”

Section: Recent Demographic Trendsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Fertility Trends and Population Policy in the Canton of Sarajevo

Reményi,

Haris,

Aida

2024

TéT

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The demography of Bosnia and Herzegovina fits into the Southeast-European trends with sub-replacement fertility and high emigration rates. At the national level, natural decline started in 2007, while migration is influenced by the war and its aftermath, as well as several economic and political push factors (low wages, corruption, high unemployment, etc.), and also has a serious impact on birth and death rates. On the other hand, demographic trends in the Canton of Sarajevo differ from the national pattern. It reached sub-replacement fertility more than a decade later (2019), and migration still has a positive balance: besides significant emigration rates, immigration to the Canton, especially from the other parts of Bosnia and Herzegovina, is higher. Since migration involves younger generations, it is also a factor behind the more favourable fertility rates, and can be evaluated as a consequence of better socio-economic development in the capital and its gravitational area. In the Canton, there have been several factors that contributed to the decline of birth rates in the past decades. Changing functions of family and children in the society, increasing women's employment, educational level and career aspirations, growing individualism and rationality, the changing social climate in relation to children, higher personal standards, and other socio-psychological factors should be mentioned. Birth rates were also (positively) influenced by other factors. One of the most important points is that the Canton has certainly one of the best support policies in Bosnia and Herzegovina including financial support and allowances for newborn children, subsidies in preschool education, primary and secondary schools as well as scholarships for pupils and students. Positive economic trends such as new constructions of residential buildings, business, and shopping centres, as well as an even stronger concentration of attractive institutions and activities should be emphasised. In 2021, the total fertility rate accounted for 1.38 in the Canton, while it has shown a great variation among the municipalities. The municipality with the lowest total fertility rate (Novi Grad) had the highest total number of live births in the Canton, while the municipality with the lowest total number of live births (Trnovo) was the only one with total fertility rate values above the replacement level. Due to its demographic, economic and political significance, the Canton of Sarajevo is a key area for population revitalisation in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Therefore, local measures have national significance, and can act as a model for the rest of the country in terms of population policy as well.

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“…It is clear that all sciences, including geography, are concerned in some way with the hidden, the undiscovered, the unknown (see Kumer 2020, Klun 2020, Gekic et al 2020, Orgin et al 2020, Kim & Muhič 2020, Planinc 2020. Moreover, interest in phenomena beyond the visible sphere (i.e., hidden) is in the core of geography, even though the name of the discipline itself, as well as its many definitions, imply a concern with the "surface of the earth," its physical features, material, and mappable objects and structures.…”

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confidence: 99%