Abstract:In Bayesian statistics, the "predictive distribution" is defined as the conditional distribution of future observations, given past observations. The predictive approach to inference highlights the centrality of predictive distributions, both for model assignment and inference. The relevance of the predictive approach is twofold. Starting from de Finetti, it is a cornerstone of the philosophical foundation of Bayesian statistics. Moreover, it has shown to be extremely fruitful, for model construction, in research areas with strong applied motivation, such as Bayesian nonparametrics and machine learning.