Background
Stay-at-home orders and social distancing have been implemented as the primary tool to reduce the spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). However, this approach has indirectly caused, only in Lima- Peru, more than 2.3 million Peruvians to lose their jobs. As a result, the risk of food insecurity may have increased in affected low-income families, especially those that depend on daily income. This study estimates the prevalence of moderate or severe food insecurity (MSFI) and identifies the associated factors that explain this outcome during the stay-at-home order.
Methods
A cross-sectional web-based survey, with the non-probability sample, was conducted between May 18 and June 30, 2020, during the stay-at-home order in Peru. We used social media advertisements on Facebook to reach 18-59 year-olds living in Peru. MSFI was assessed using the Food Insecurity Experience Scale (FIES). Rasch model methodology requirements were considered, and factors associated with MSFI were selected using a stepwise forward selection. A Poisson generalized linear model (Poisson GLMs), with log link function, was employed to estimate adjusted prevalence ratios (aPR).
Findings
This analysis is based on 1846 replies. The prevalence of MSFI was 23.2%, and FIES proved to be an acceptable instrument with reliability 0.72 and infit 0.8-1.3. People more likely to experience MSFI were those with low income (less than 255 US$/month) in the pre-pandemic period (aPR 3.77; 95%CI, 1.98-7.16), those whose income was significantly reduced during the pandemic period (aPR 2.27; 95%CI, 1.55-3.31), and those whose savings ran out in less than 21 days (aPR 1.86; 95%CI, 1.43-2.42). Likewise, heads of households (aPR 1.20; 95%CI, 1.00-1.44) and those with relatives with probable SARS-CoV2 cases (aPR 1.29; 95%CI, 1.05-1.58) were at an increased risk of MSFI. Additionally, those who perceived losing weight during the pandemic (aPR 1.21; 95%CI, 1.01-1.45), and reported increases in processed foods prices (aPR 1.31; 95%CI, 1.08-1.59), and eating less minimally processed food (aPR 1.82; 95%CI, 1.48-2.24) were also more likely to experience MSFI.
Interpretation
People most at risk of MSFI were those in a critical economic situation before and during the pandemic period. It is necessary to reinforce social protection policies to prevent or mitigate these adverse effects.
Funding
None.