2021
DOI: 10.1002/jmv.27307
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High proportion of low cycle threshold value as an early indicator of COVID‐19 surge

Abstract: Many countries in the world are experiencing a recent surge in COVID‐19 cases. This is mainly attributed to the emergence of new SARS‐CoV‐2 variants. Genome sequencing is the only means to detect the evolving virus mutants and emerging variants. Cycle threshold values have an inverse relationship with viral load and lower Ct values are also found to be associated with increased infectivity. In this study, we propose to use Ct values as an early indicator for upcoming COVID‐19 waves. A retrospective cross‐secti… Show more

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Cited by 33 publications
(24 citation statements)
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“…At early infection, viral accumulation tends to be high while the Ct values are lower. 22 , 26 Hence, at 0–5 DSO, no significant changes in Ct values were observed due to the constantly high level of viral load, while the sensitivity of the RAHT is at the highest level during these periods of time. Extending the range of DSO may allow for a more accurate evaluation of the correlation between Ct value and DSO.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 93%
“…At early infection, viral accumulation tends to be high while the Ct values are lower. 22 , 26 Hence, at 0–5 DSO, no significant changes in Ct values were observed due to the constantly high level of viral load, while the sensitivity of the RAHT is at the highest level during these periods of time. Extending the range of DSO may allow for a more accurate evaluation of the correlation between Ct value and DSO.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 93%
“…The relationship between symptom profile and cycle threshold (Ct) value from PCR testing (an established proxy for viral load, 810 which in turn correlates with infectiousness 11,12 ) has also yet to be fully investigated. Identifying individuals who are more likely to be i) infected, and ii) infectious on the basis of symptom profile would have clinical value as governments move away from mass testing programmes and mandatory isolation measures.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…To construct Fig. 3 a, a cycle threshold (Ct) cut-off of [ 19 ] for S-gene, N-gene and ORF1ab (see [ 20 ] for details) is required to determine whether it is the Delta or another variant. Only infection data from processing labs that routinely looked at the 3 genes was used.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%