Background
In ulcerative colitis (UC), endoscopic improvement, defined as a Mayo Endoscopic Score (MES) of 0 or 1, is a target of treatment. The aim of our study was to evaluate the risk of clinical relapse between patients with an MES of 0 or 1 and determine if histologic activity using the Robarts Histopathologic Index (RHI) was predictive of clinical relapse.
Methods
UC patients with an MES score of 0 or 1, no prior colectomy, and at least 1 year of outpatient follow up after colonoscopy were included. Demographic, clinical characteristics, and clinical relapse were retrospectively collected. Biopsy specimens were read by a gastrointestinal pathologist. Primary outcome was defined as a composite of relapse requiring change in medical therapy, new steroid use, UC-related hospitalization, and/or colectomy.
Results
445 UC patients were identified. 95% of patients with MES 0 were in histologic remission by the RHI whereas only 35% of patients with MES 1 were in histologic remission. 26% of patients experienced a clinical relapse; patients with MES 1 or RHI > 3 were significantly more likely to relapse (p<0.01) compared to patients with MES 0 or RHI ≤3. When patients were stratified into 4 groups (MES 0, RHI ≤3; MES 0, RHI > 3; MES 1, RHI ≤3; MES 1, RHI > 3) and adjusted for age and sex, RHI > 3 was predictive of relapse (p=0.008).
Conclusion
UC patients with endoscopic improvement have a high rate of clinical relapse over time. Histologic activity is a predictor of clinical relapse.