2023
DOI: 10.3390/resources12090106
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Historical Analysis and Prediction of the Magnitude and Scale of Natural Disasters Globally

Julia Buszta,
Katarzyna Wójcik,
Celso Augusto Guimarães Santos
et al.

Abstract: The aim of this study was to conduct a geospatial analysis of natural disasters occurring worldwide between 1960 and 2018. A total of 9962 disasters were considered, covering 39,953 locations. These phenomena were analysed in terms of frequency and number to determine changes over time and predict future trends. The data included information such as location and year of occurrence. The following natural disasters were included in the analyses: droughts, earthquakes, extreme temperatures, floods, landslides, ea… Show more

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Cited by 9 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…Among them, 14 are considered as current challenges that were identified already from the previous cycles, but still remain largely unresolved. The other 10 challenges have a more prospective character and are expected to concern first responders both in the short and the long term, especially taking into consideration the rapid and continuous increase in the frequency and severity of disasters (e.g., Buszta et al , 2023 ). The majority of FCCCs are associated with the main challenge of "Uncertainty", since large scale emergencies are often accompanied by sudden changes, which can disrupt operations and cause confusion between the several different first responders’ agencies.…”
Section: Rd Cycle Overall Results and Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Among them, 14 are considered as current challenges that were identified already from the previous cycles, but still remain largely unresolved. The other 10 challenges have a more prospective character and are expected to concern first responders both in the short and the long term, especially taking into consideration the rapid and continuous increase in the frequency and severity of disasters (e.g., Buszta et al , 2023 ). The majority of FCCCs are associated with the main challenge of "Uncertainty", since large scale emergencies are often accompanied by sudden changes, which can disrupt operations and cause confusion between the several different first responders’ agencies.…”
Section: Rd Cycle Overall Results and Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Furthermore, climate change is exacerbating the frequency and intensity of disasters, posing threats to Europe's economic and social infrastructure (Sheehan et al, 2023). In South America, common disasters include floods, earthquakes, tornadoes, and landslides (Buszta et al, 2023). The United States is a country where tornadoes are common, representing one of the most dangerous and frightening types of disasters due to their potential for human casualties, destruction of settlements, and economic losses.…”
Section: An Overview Of the Literaturementioning
confidence: 99%
“…In recent years, the global frequency of various disasters, including earthquakes, hurricanes, and floods, has escalated significantly [1][2][3]. These events not only result in substantial human casualties and property losses but also exert a profound impact on socio-economic development, causing considerable distress in people's lives [4,5].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%