“…2 Homicide numbers in England and Wales have historically been comparatively low and the homicide rate remains one of the lowest in the world (Brookman et al, 2017) -the most recent figures indicate a rate of 12 per million population 3 (Office for National Statistics (ONS), 2019b). Nonetheless, overall trends in England and Wales have tracked closely alongside trends in other developed countries (Brookman et al, 2017;Eisner, 2001Eisner, , 2008Gurr, 1981;Soothill and Francis, 2012), steadily decreasing from the middle ages until the 1960s, before rising for approximately four decades before peaking in 2004 and subsequently declining until 2014. The analysis below covers the period from 1 April 2003 (immediately prior to the peak in rates) to 31 March 2015, just after the rate had begun to rise again, at the same time as an upwards trend has been witnessed across many European countries (ONS, 2019b) and US states (Rosenfeld, 2016).…”