2021
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2105.06541
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How Bayesian methods can improve $R$-matrix analyses of data: the example of the $dt$ Reaction

Daniel Odell,
Carl Brune,
Daniel Phillips

Abstract: The 3 H(d, n) 4 He reaction is of significant interest in nuclear astrophysics and nuclear applications. It is an important, early step in big-bang nucleosynthesis and a key process in nuclear fusion reactors. We use one-and two-level R-matrix approximations to analyze data on the cross section for this reaction at center-of-mass energies below 215 keV. We critically examine the data sets using a Bayesian statistical model that allows for both common-mode and additional point-to-point uncertainties. We use Mar… Show more

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Cited by 2 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…VI. There are also numerous studies using BO for UQ on reaction model parameters; some recent examples include R-matrix analyses of cross sections (Odell, Brune, and Phillips, 2021), optical model parameters (Lovell and Nunes, 2018;King et al, 2019;Yang et al, 2020;Lovell et al, 2021), and sensitivity analyses (Catacora-Rios et al, 2019. In the future, it is anticipated that ML will help identify those measurements that most effectively constrain theoretical models, optimize model parameters simultaneously across multiple reaction channels for many isotopes, and provide guidance to theory through global systematic studies that can be efficiently executed with surrogate models.…”
Section: Nuclear Reactionsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…VI. There are also numerous studies using BO for UQ on reaction model parameters; some recent examples include R-matrix analyses of cross sections (Odell, Brune, and Phillips, 2021), optical model parameters (Lovell and Nunes, 2018;King et al, 2019;Yang et al, 2020;Lovell et al, 2021), and sensitivity analyses (Catacora-Rios et al, 2019. In the future, it is anticipated that ML will help identify those measurements that most effectively constrain theoretical models, optimize model parameters simultaneously across multiple reaction channels for many isotopes, and provide guidance to theory through global systematic studies that can be efficiently executed with surrogate models.…”
Section: Nuclear Reactionsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…where H ≡ X † HX is the Hamiltonian projected into the subspace spanned by X, and N ≡ X † X is the norm matrix. The meaning of E can be understood by substituting these relationships back into the variational form (7):…”
Section: A Derivationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Nuclear physics calculations often need to be repeated many times for different values of some model parameters, for example when sampling the model space for Bayesian uncertainty quantification [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9] and experimental design [10][11][12]. The computational burden can be alleviated by using emulators, or surrogate models, which accurately approximate the response of the original (i.e., high-fidelity) model but are much cheaper to evaluate.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%