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Die Dis cus si on Pape rs die nen einer mög lichst schnel len Ver brei tung von neue ren For schungs arbei ten des ZEW. Die Bei trä ge lie gen in allei ni ger Ver ant wor tung der Auto ren und stel len nicht not wen di ger wei se die Mei nung des ZEW dar.Dis cus si on Papers are inten ded to make results of ZEW research prompt ly avai la ble to other eco no mists in order to encou ra ge dis cus si on and sug gesti ons for revi si ons. The aut hors are sole ly respon si ble for the con tents which do not neces sa ri ly repre sent the opi ni on of the ZEW.Download this ZEW Discussion Paper from our ftp server:ftp://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew-docs/dp/dp07076.pdf Non-technical SummaryThe European Central Bank (ECB) implements monetary policy by conducting open market operations to steer the short term interest rates in the interbank market, managing the liquidity situation in the market and signalling the monetary policy stance. In particular, the euro overnight rate, the market interest rate that is most closely linked to the policy rate, is crucial for signalling the policy stance since the overnight rate marks the first step in the monetary policy transmission process. Therefore, it is desirable for the ECB to keep the EONIA in close distance to the policy rate.The spread between the EONIA and the ECB's policy rate has widened slowly but steadily since the introduction of the changes to the operational framework The analysis identifies possible driving forces underlying the evolution of the spread over time and aims to quantify the impact of specific factors on the observed upward shift. We show that the increase in the EONIA spread can for the largest part be explained by the current liquidity deficit. Moreover, tight liquidity conditions as well as an increase in banks' uncertainty about the liquidity conditions lead to a significant upward pressure on the spread. ECB's liquidity policy only has a significant impact on the reduction of the spread if a loose policy is conducted during the last week of an MRO. Interestingly, interest rate expectations have not been found to have an important influence.
Die Dis cus si on Pape rs die nen einer mög lichst schnel len Ver brei tung von neue ren For schungs arbei ten des ZEW. Die Bei trä ge lie gen in allei ni ger Ver ant wor tung der Auto ren und stel len nicht not wen di ger wei se die Mei nung des ZEW dar.Dis cus si on Papers are inten ded to make results of ZEW research prompt ly avai la ble to other eco no mists in order to encou ra ge dis cus si on and sug gesti ons for revi si ons. The aut hors are sole ly respon si ble for the con tents which do not neces sa ri ly repre sent the opi ni on of the ZEW.Download this ZEW Discussion Paper from our ftp server:ftp://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew-docs/dp/dp07076.pdf Non-technical SummaryThe European Central Bank (ECB) implements monetary policy by conducting open market operations to steer the short term interest rates in the interbank market, managing the liquidity situation in the market and signalling the monetary policy stance. In particular, the euro overnight rate, the market interest rate that is most closely linked to the policy rate, is crucial for signalling the policy stance since the overnight rate marks the first step in the monetary policy transmission process. Therefore, it is desirable for the ECB to keep the EONIA in close distance to the policy rate.The spread between the EONIA and the ECB's policy rate has widened slowly but steadily since the introduction of the changes to the operational framework The analysis identifies possible driving forces underlying the evolution of the spread over time and aims to quantify the impact of specific factors on the observed upward shift. We show that the increase in the EONIA spread can for the largest part be explained by the current liquidity deficit. Moreover, tight liquidity conditions as well as an increase in banks' uncertainty about the liquidity conditions lead to a significant upward pressure on the spread. ECB's liquidity policy only has a significant impact on the reduction of the spread if a loose policy is conducted during the last week of an MRO. Interestingly, interest rate expectations have not been found to have an important influence.
In the study we investigate the effectiveness of the National Bank of Poland in counteracting the negative results of the financial crisis in the Polish interbank market. The situation was exceptional in a sense, that during the period of the financial crisis the Polish interbank market experienced liquidity surplus, and the main problem of the central bank was to regain confidence among commercial banks and stimulate interbank transactions. We concentrate on the spread between the rate of overnight interbank loans and the reference rate and based upon its dynamics we assess the monetary policy of the Polish central bank. Using econometric techniques we study how the central bank influenced the spread, when its control over it weakened and when was it strengthened. The study is supported by the results of the survey directed to the headquarters of commercial banks. We conclude that the ability of the central bank to control overnight rate wasThe views in this paper should be regarded as those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect those of the National Bank of Poland. temporarily lost during the first phases of the financial crisis, but gradually regained after implementation of the confidence pact.The aim of the research was to assess the ability of the Polish central bank to control the rate of overnight loans in the Polish interbank market and conduct its monetary policy during the confidence crisis, as well as facing the liquidity surplus. The Polish interbank market is special in a sense that liquidity surplus has been present there even since 1994 (National Bank of Poland 2009). However, together with the outbreak of the financial crisis, the confidence in the Polish interbank market declined drastically. Commercial banks preferred to accumulate liquidity surplus and performed almost no interbank transactions of maturity longer than 7 days. Banks preferred to keep their surplus on their current accounts with the central bank or in the form of deposit facility, and they significantly limited participation in the 7-day open market operations conducted by the National Bank of Poland (NBP) (National Bank of Poland 2009). The latter resulted in the so called underbidding (i.e. the situation during the tenders for the NBP bills, when the banks' total bid is lower than the supply offered by the central bank). As a consequence, the effectiveness of the central bank in stabilization of the market rates, what is one of the main goals of the monetary policy, diminished significantly.Our goal was to assess the effectiveness of the monetary policy of the Polish central bank, using econometric methods, as well as with respect to the results of the survey, sent to the head-quarters of the Polish commercial banks. The problem of assessing the effectiveness of the stabilization policy of central banks using econometric methods is also rather new in literature. Panigirtzoglou et al. (2000) studied the effectiveness of controlling the interbank rates through the key interest rates of the central banks of Grea...
This paper develops a theoretical model which replicates main institutional features of the euro overnight interbank market and the Eurosystem's operational framework which has been in place since September 2008. Main ingredients of the model are frictions in form of participation costs in the interbank market, a refinancing operation with unlimited liquidity supply and two standing facilities offered by the central bank. The model can explain several stylized facts observed during the financial crisis as the decline in interbankborrowing and the interbank rate, the increased borrowing from the Eurosystem and the strong recourse to its deposit facility. Furthermore, we discuss some policy implications.
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