Abstract:This paper applies a novel methodology to a unique dataset of large concentrations during the period 1990-2002 to assess merger control's effectiveness. By using data gathered from several sources and employing different evaluation techniques, we analyze the economic effects of the European Commission's (EC) merger control decisions and distinguish between blockings, clearances with commitments (either behavioral or structural), and outright clearances. We run an event study on merging and rival firms' stocks … Show more
“…This finding confirms our conjecture, based on Duso et al (2008), that anti-trust actions capture the presence of possible changes in market power and the difficulties often present in adequately dealing with it.…”
Section: Equity Returnssupporting
confidence: 90%
“…We therefore rely on the market knowledge of the anti-trust authority to determine whether or not a merger increases market power. Important for our purposes are also the findings by Duso et al (2008). They show that though investors can predict fairly accurately the European anti-trust investigations and actions, barring merger blocks, European anti-trust actions often fail to remove all market power acquired through the merger.…”
“…This finding confirms our conjecture, based on Duso et al (2008), that anti-trust actions capture the presence of possible changes in market power and the difficulties often present in adequately dealing with it.…”
Section: Equity Returnssupporting
confidence: 90%
“…We therefore rely on the market knowledge of the anti-trust authority to determine whether or not a merger increases market power. Important for our purposes are also the findings by Duso et al (2008). They show that though investors can predict fairly accurately the European anti-trust investigations and actions, barring merger blocks, European anti-trust actions often fail to remove all market power acquired through the merger.…”
“…Fridolfsson and Stennek (2006) review the literature and conclude that rivals do not tend to benefit, suggesting that mergers on average increase efficiency. Duso et al (2006), however, come to a somewhat different conclusion after reviewing the literature. According to them, most studies tend to find that rivals do benefit from horizontal mergers, but the authors of these studies draw different conclusions from their findings.…”
“…[] and Duso et al . [] for empirical analyses of the effects of EU merger notifications and decisions. They also make use of the event study methodology.…”
EU antitrust investigations involve a sequence of events which affect the investigated firm's market value. We model these relationships and estimate their impact on firms' share prices. On average, a surprise inspection reduces a firm's share price by 2.89%, an infringement decision reduces it by 3.57%. The Court judgments do not have a statistically significant effect. Overall, we find that the total effect of the antitrust action ranges from −3.03% to −4.55% of a firm's market value. Fines account for no more than 8.9% of this loss, and we conjecture that most of the loss is due to the cessation of illegal activities.
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