How future climate and tree distribution changes shape the biodiversity of macrofungi across Europe

Abstract

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Present status, future trends, and control strategies of invasive alien plants in China affected by human activities and climate change

“…Therefore, the disparities between potential distribution patterns of IAPs under current and future were caused solely attributable to changes in climate variables. While this approach allows for a more comprehensive modeling of potential IAP distribution by incorporating additional driving factors beyond climate variables alone (Liu et al 2019b, Midolo et al 2021, Yu et al 2023), it is important to recognize the significant role that anthropogenic activities play an important role in the introduction and expansion of alien species. These activities have the potential to alter the further distribution areas (Chen et al 2021, Wang et al 2022).…”

“…Climate change affects the spread of IAPs by altering their distribution patterns and potentially shifting which environments are suitable for a particular species (Clements et al 2022). We implemented approaches used in previous studies (Yang et al 2013, Wang et al 2016, 2017, Liu et al 2019b, Midolo et al 2021, Yu et al 2023), incorporating human activities and topography (elevation; population density; GDP; and distances to the nearest railway, expressway, national highway, and provincial capital) as constant variables for potential distribution analysis under climate change scenarios, as these factors facilitate IAP establishment and spread (Bagnara et al 2022). Thus, in accordance with previous studies concerning potential plant distributions, we selected 26 variables for this study: 19 bioclimatic variables, a topographic factor (elevation), traffic impacts (distances to the nearest railway, national highway, expressway, and provincial capital), population density, and GDP as a socioeconomic indicator.…”

“…We conducted 10 replicate model runs to ensure robust results. During potential distribution analysis, model performance was measured using two well‐established metrics, the true skill statistic (TSS) and the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic plot (Allouche et al 2006, Gallien et al 2012, Leroy et al 2018, Mi et al 2023, Yu et al 2023). We retained only models for which TSS ≥ 0.5 and AUC ≥ 0.7, and then created an ensemble model that weighted each model according to its TSS score (Thuiller et al 2009, Gallardo et al 2017).…”

Bioclimatic Modeling of Current Geographic Distribution and Future Range Shifts of Selected Edible Mushrooms in Nigeria

“…However, very little research projected that possible future changing climate circumstances would alter the range and distribution of macrofungi in Nigeria. To predict future ecological shifts, it is crucial to comprehend how these fungi respond to changes in the climate (Yu et al, 2023).…”

Improving forest ecosystem functions by optimizing tree species spatial arrangement

“…For instance, the amount of litter falling on the ground decreases with increasing distance from the individual tree producing the litter, thus its contribution to the litter decomposition [12][13][14] . Consequently, the spatial arrangement of tree species defines potential species interactions and ecosystem processes, and thus, underpins biodiversity effects commonly observed at the stand level 19,20 . Therefore, spatial heterogeneity of tree species should maximize species interactions, and thus, enhance soil carbon sequestration by optimizing litterfall distribution and decomposition 17,21 .…”