2019
DOI: 10.1111/ecaf.12328
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How large is Vietnam's informal economy?

Abstract: The purpose of this article is to estimate the size of the informal economy in Vietnam, describe its development from 1995 to 2015, and assess the country's potential tax loss from this activity. The MIMIC model indicates that the informal economy accounts for between 15 per cent and 27 per cent of GDP. The informal economy has grown sharply in Vietnam since 2007, while its size has decreased in other comparable nations. Potential tax revenue lost annually amounts to between 3.3 per cent and 5 per cent of gros… Show more

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Cited by 19 publications
(8 citation statements)
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References 23 publications
(38 reference statements)
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“…The informal economy is visible in the form of survivalist business activities that are conducted from pavements, pedestrian malls, transport stations, road traffic, streets and from abandoned buildings (Smit and Musango, 2015). The informal economy has a bad reputation for conducting economic activities outside regulatory oversight, reducing government revenue collection, and for increasing corruption (Sakuhuni, 2014;Ouédraogo, 2017;Neef, 2002;Hoa, 2019). But the informal economy also has benefits that need to be acknowledged.…”
Section: The Informal Economy Loses From Financial Inclusionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The informal economy is visible in the form of survivalist business activities that are conducted from pavements, pedestrian malls, transport stations, road traffic, streets and from abandoned buildings (Smit and Musango, 2015). The informal economy has a bad reputation for conducting economic activities outside regulatory oversight, reducing government revenue collection, and for increasing corruption (Sakuhuni, 2014;Ouédraogo, 2017;Neef, 2002;Hoa, 2019). But the informal economy also has benefits that need to be acknowledged.…”
Section: The Informal Economy Loses From Financial Inclusionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Since 2007, the informal sector has grown sharply in Vietnam while its size has decreased in other comparable nations. It accounted for between 18 and 27 percent of Vietnam's national GDP during 2008 and 2015 (Hoa, 2019). However, while there has been rich literature on the relationship between informal competition and innovation in China (Pérez et al, 2019), Eastern Europe and Central Asia (McCann & Bahl, 2017), Africa and Latin America (Mendi & Costamagna, 2017) and Sub‐Saharan Africa (Avenyo et al, 2021), little is known on this topic in the context of Vietnam.…”
Section: Hypotheses Developmentmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The model includes a set of observable indicator variables and causal variables. By estimating the equations for these two sets of variables, one can approach the estimation of variables that are unobservable and difficult to measure directly (Chaudhuri et al, 2006;Hoa, 2019;Tonuchi et al, 2020).…”
Section: Model For Estimating the Informal Economymentioning
confidence: 99%