How Long Do Offenders Escape Arrest? Using DNA Traces to Analyse when Serial Offenders Are Caught

Lammers, Marloes; Bernasco, Wim; Elffers, Henk

doi:10.1002/jip.1353

Cited by 24 publications

(15 citation statements)

References 29 publications

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“…How long offenders manage to escape an arrest has been recently studied through the use of DNA links, as well as if mobile offenders are less likely to be caught (Lammers et al, 2012;Lammers and Bernasco, 2013). Lammers (2014) has also compared patterns of arrested offenders from those who are not arrested.…”

Section: Beyond Intelligence and Policingmentioning

confidence: 99%

The progressive opening of forensic science toward criminological concerns

Ribaux

Crispino

Delémont

et al. 2016

Secur J

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Technology is increasingly offering new means of human behavior traceability. This situation is challenging the standing, scope and role of forensic science in the criminal Justice System. At the same time, criminology is developing methodologies that encompass virtual worlds, and deal with the increasing quantity of accessible digital data reflecting criminal behaviors. Identifying how these concerns overlap begs the question: should we reconsider the articulation of many aspects of both forensic science and criminology? This article proposes a progressive and systematic modeling activity along five steps: (i) the expression of the investigative logic of forensic science; (ii) the use of theories in environmental criminology; (iii) a more systematic search for associations between traces and between crime situations; (iv) the search for studies in diverse areas of criminology that actually or potentially rely on forensic case data and (v) the suggestion of models and methods for framing the approach.

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Section: Beyond Intelligence and Policingmentioning

confidence: 99%

The progressive opening of forensic science toward criminological concerns

Ribaux

Crispino

Delémont

et al. 2016

Secur J

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…links based on situational information may be assumed on the basis of very specific MO or more common ones, etc. In all cases, DNA offers the most certain relationships than other material evidences, than situational information (with the exception of cases committed the same day in the same place) and than behavioural aspects [11], [12].…”

Section: How Long Does It Take To Detect Series and What Is The Impacmentioning

confidence: 98%

Integrating forensic information in a crime intelligence database

Rossy

Ioset

Dessimoz³

et al. 2013

Forensic Science International

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Since 2008, intelligence units of six states of the western part of Switzerland have been sharing a common database for the analysis of high volume crimes. On a daily basis, events reported to the police are analysed, filtered and classified to detect crime repetitions and interpret the crime environment. Several forensic outcomes are integrated in the system such as matches of traces with persons, and links between scenes detected by the comparison of forensic case data. Systematic procedures have been settled to integrate links assumed mainly through DNA profiles, shoemarks patterns and images. A statistical outlook on a retrospective dataset of series from 2009 to 2011 of the database informs for instance on the number of repetition detected or confirmed and increased by forensic case data. Time needed to obtain forensic intelligence in regard with the type of marks treated, is seen as a critical issue. Furthermore, the underlying integration process of forensic intelligence into the crime intelligence database raised several difficulties in regards of the acquisition of data and the models used in the forensic databases. Solutions found and adopted operational procedures are described and discussed. This process form the basis to many other researches aimed at developing forensic intelligence models.

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“…Three studies by Lammers et al were included in this systematic review. Lammers, Bernasco, and Elffers (2012) [9] used data from the Dutch DNA database to examine whether the seriousness of previous crimes, the amount of previous crimes, and possible specialization in crime type affected the probability of arrest by comparing two or more crimes where the same DNA profile was found at the crime scene of identified and unidentified offenders 1 in violent crime cases, sexual offense cases, and high-volume crime cases. According to Lammers et al, 35% of offenders who leave their DNA at the crime scene will not be arrested within eight years.…”

Section: Criminological Knowledgementioning

confidence: 99%

The effectiveness of DNA databases in relation to their purpose and content: A systematic review

Struyf

Moor

Vandeviver

et al. 2019

Forensic Science International

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Different stakeholders use forensic DNA databases for different purposes; for example, law enforcement agencies use them as an investigative tool to identify suspects, and criminologists use them to study the offending patterns of unidentified suspects. A number of researchers have already studied their effectiveness, but none has performed an overview of the relevant literature. Such an overview could help future researchers and policymakers by evaluating their creation, use and expansion. Using a systematic review, this article synthesizes the most relevant research into the effectiveness of forensic DNA databases published between January 1985 and March 2018. We report the results of the selected studies and look deeper into the evidence by evaluating the relationship between the purpose, content, and effectiveness of DNA databases, three inseparable elements in this type of research. We classify the studies by purposes: (i) detection and clearance; (ii) deterrence; and (iii) criminological scientific knowledge. Each category uses different measurements to evaluate effectiveness. The majority of these studies report positive results, supporting the assumption that DNA databases are an effective tool for the police, society, and criminologists.

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How Long Do Offenders Escape Arrest? Using DNA Traces to Analyse when Serial Offenders Are Caught

Cited by 24 publications

References 29 publications

The progressive opening of forensic science toward criminological concerns

The progressive opening of forensic science toward criminological concerns

Integrating forensic information in a crime intelligence database

The effectiveness of DNA databases in relation to their purpose and content: A systematic review

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