“…First, and most importantly, judge ideology likely affects both insider trading commitment and detection; therefore, using prosecuted cases makes it difficult to disentangle the effect of judge ideology on insider trading commitment. Second, prior literature finds that the actual prevalence of illegal insider trading is significantly greater than the number of prosecuted cases(Patel and Putniņš 2021), and thus focusing on prosecuted cases alone would severely underestimate the effect of judge ideology.32 Cohen et al (2012) show that opportunistic trades are more informative of firms' future returns than other trades, and the former type of trade is more likely to be subject to SEC enforcement action.33 In a sensitivity test, we use a two-step procedure to identify opportunistic trades. First, we classify an insider who has not placed a trade, regardless of direction, in the same month during any of the three preceding years as an opportunistic trader.…”