How much is enough? An integrated examination of energy security, economic growth and climate change related to hydropower expansion in Brazil

Prado, Fernando A. Almeida; Athayde, Simone; Mossa, Joann; Bohlman, Stephanie A.; Leite, Flavia; Oliver‐Smith, Anthony

doi:10.1016/j.rser.2015.09.050

Cited by 103 publications

(23 citation statements)

References 17 publications

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“…Energy alternatives abound in Brazil, making the government's plans for many more dams in Amazonia unnecessary (e.g., Fearnside, ). The plans themselves are based on flawed projections, as costs and construction times of dams are systematically underestimated (e.g., Ansar, Flyvbjerg, Budzier, & Lunn, ) and Brazil's assumed future energy demands are based on wildly unrealistic projections of economic growth (Almeida Prado et al, ). One obvious step is for Brazil to stop exporting electricity in the form of electro‐intensive commodities such as aluminum, which generate very little employment in Brazil while causing great damage through the dams built to supply these industries (Fearnside, ).…”

Section: Alternativesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Challenges for sustainable development in Brazilian Amazonia

Fearnside

2018

Sustainable Development

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Most economic initiatives and infrastructure projects in Brazilian Amazonia have social benefits that are small and ephemeral, while their socioenvironmental impacts are severe. More sustainable forms of development are inhibited by barriers such as a decision-making system with heavy influence (including corruption) from actors with interests in nonsustainable activities. These interests have driven a recent surge of legislative threats to environmental licensing. Better alternatives exist for many destructive forms of "development" projects. Examples include transport using rivers (rather than building highways) and electricity generation from Brazil's vast solar and wind resources (rather than hydroelectric dams). Traditional rural populations could receive support from programs that tap the value of the Amazon forest's environmental services, but institutional mechanisms are in their infancy, among challenges that include differing political interests of countries providing environmental services and those that might pay for them, lack of data and a "theoretical battlefield" regarding accounting for benefits.

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Section: Alternativesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Challenges for sustainable development in Brazilian Amazonia

Fearnside

2018

Sustainable Development

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“…The severity of adverse health effects caused by climate change include access to clean water and air as well as damages to homes and livelihoods due to drought, flooding, and other events [McMichael, Woodruff and Hales, 2006]. Higher ocean temperatures can lead to increased harmful algal blooms, decreased air quality, and agricultural issues [Haines et al, 2006] all of which have economic impacts [Almeida Prado et al, 2016;Havens, 2015]. Although these issues are severe, many people do not understand how they will be affected by climate change due to its global scale [Popovich, Schwartz and Schlossberg, 2017].…”

Section: Literature Review Climate Change and Public Healthmentioning

confidence: 99%

Panel-based exhibit using participatory design elements may motivate behavior change

Lundgren¹,

Stofer²,

Dunckel³

et al. 2019

JCOM

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Meaningful science engagement beyond one-way outreach is needed to encourage science-based decision making. This pilot study aimed to instigate dialogue and deliberation concerning climate change and public health. Feedback from science café participants was used to design a panel-based museum exhibit that asked visitors to make action plans concerning such issues. Using intercept interviews and visitor comment card data, we found that visitors developed general or highly individualistic action plans to address these issues. Results suggest that employing participatory design methods when developing controversial socio-scientific exhibits can aid engagement. We conclude by recommending participatory strategies for implementing two-way science communication.

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“…Recent studies that try to investigate the relationships between economy and energy resources in particular and environment in general are mostly associated with specific countries, e.g., Norway, China, India, Turkey, United States, South Korea, Brazil, Germany or a specific type of renewable resource (wind, solar, tide currents) [19,[31][32][33][34][35]. Moreover, many forecasting methods are applied in current studies, ranging from grey theory prediction and time series compression to Holt's or Winter's exponential method [36].…”

Section: Modelling Of Economic Systemsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Adding Feedbacks and Non-Linearity to the Neoclassical Growth Model: A New Realm for System Dynamics Applications

Režný¹,

Bureš²

2018

Systems

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Modelling of economic systems is traditionally associated with a mathematical formalism that has its drawbacks and limitations. This study applies system dynamics as a specific modelling technique that enables us to modify and elaborate existing economic models and improve them both from a theoretical perspective and for practical applications. More specifically, the Solow-Swan growth model is enriched by feedback and non-linearity based on its extension by the energy sector. The influence and role of renewable resources are considered in this enhancement. The developed model is tested in two different scenarios and utilizes sensitivity analysis as the primary tool. Acquired outcomes offer a new perspective on the economy-energy nexus based on real data and demonstrate that system dynamics can be successfully used as a modelling tool even in the theoretical economics as a traditional discipline.

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How much is enough? An integrated examination of energy security, economic growth and climate change related to hydropower expansion in Brazil

Cited by 103 publications

References 17 publications

Challenges for sustainable development in Brazilian Amazonia

Challenges for sustainable development in Brazilian Amazonia

Panel-based exhibit using participatory design elements may motivate behavior change

Adding Feedbacks and Non-Linearity to the Neoclassical Growth Model: A New Realm for System Dynamics Applications

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