2021
DOI: 10.1016/j.cognition.2021.104848
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How ‘rational’ is semantic prediction? A critique and re-analysis of

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Cited by 11 publications
(8 citation statements)
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References 29 publications
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“…Pre-registered analyses can be misconceived, and such problems and analysis errors can be overlooked by researchers, peer reviewers and journal editors alike. This merely strengthens the case for scientific transparency and open data, to allow for post-publication re-analyses such as reported here and in Nieuwland (2021).…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 75%
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“…Pre-registered analyses can be misconceived, and such problems and analysis errors can be overlooked by researchers, peer reviewers and journal editors alike. This merely strengthens the case for scientific transparency and open data, to allow for post-publication re-analyses such as reported here and in Nieuwland (2021).…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 75%
“…Therefore, prediction disconfirmation was not a crucial trigger for adaptation. With related conclusions (Delaney-Busch et al, 2019) similarly debunked by Nieuwland (2021), the rational adaptation hypothesis of prediction is now left on shaky ground. Linguistic prediction may be more robust to changes in statistical regularities in the local environment than is sometimes thought.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…However, as noted in the introduction, so far these proposals were either based on verbally descriptive theories (Kuperberg, 2016; Bornkessel-Schlesewsky and Schlesewsky, 2019) or on neural network models operating at Marr’s algorithmic (partly considered implementational) level of analysis (Rabovsky and McRae, 2014; Rabovsky et al, 2018; Lopopolo and Rabovsky, 2021). Here, we complement the neural network based approach with an explicitly probabilistic Bayesian modeling approach operating at Marr’s computational level (see also Delaney-Busch et al 2019, but Nieuwland 2021).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The proportion paradigm has been shown to be a particularly useful tool for directly investigating strategic control processes during language comprehension (e.g., [ 18 , 19 , 20 , 21 , 22 , 23 , 24 , 25 , 26 , 27 ]). For example, in a self-paced reading experiment, Brothers et al [ 18 ] manipulated not only the predictability of the critical word (CW) (predictable vs. unpredictable), such as “spider” in (1a) and (1b), but also the global validity of lexical prediction, that is, the proportion of sentences in which the CWs were predictable (87.5%, 50%, or 12.5%).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%