How to Improve the Location of Branches of Russian Agriculture

The Effect of Climate Change on the Location of Branches of Agriculture in Russia

“…The application of mathematical methods to improve the territorial and sectoral structure of production in agriculture of the country has become the subject of several generations of researchers (see [21]), whose works were the first to offer the solution of the numerical model of the territorial distribution of agricultural sectors region-wise. There are three drawbacks for the previous developments: excessive complexity of numerical models; instability of optimal plans, limiting the scope of their application scenarios, little different from the actual situation; and ignoring the randomness inherent in agricultural production.…”

“…In works [19,20] a variant of such an approach is used. In the current study, as in [21], the model does not have the first two drawbacks due to the nonparametric representation of the production frontier in the form proposed in [24], with restrictions that define the assurance region [25]. The third difficulty was overcome with the help of the theory of stochastic ED-models [26], which offers a nonparametric representation of a multidimensional (joint) probability distribution of parameters depending on randomness.…”

“…As a result, the measures recommended in [14] remain relevant, considering the fact that it would be more reasonable if regions themselves can take decisions on their appropriateness and scale. The Federal authorities are primarily required (as follows from [21,29], regardless of climate change) to take care of bringing the transport infrastructure in line with the needs of agriculture. Among the regions there are two groups that will undergo the greatest changes.…”