2017
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2941049
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Human Capital Costs of Climate Change: Evidence from Test Scores in India

Abstract: We present estimates of the effect of temperature on cognitive performance, and find that an additional 10 days in a year above 29C reduces math and reading test scores by 0.03 and 0.02 standard deviations respectively. However, in contrast to prior work, we find evidence for an income mechanism -hot days during the growing season reduce agricultural yields and test score performance with comparatively modest effects of hot days in the non-growing season. The roll-out of a conditional cash transfer program, by… Show more

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Cited by 21 publications
(17 citation statements)
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“…consequential (Park, 2017;Graff Zivin et al, 2018). 4 It also complements recent work by Garg et al (2016), which finds that increases in annual temperature exposure in India can impair test performance largely through impacts on agricultural yields and nutrition. Our study also has implications for the study of standardized test performance more generally.…”
Section: Introductionsupporting
confidence: 59%
“…consequential (Park, 2017;Graff Zivin et al, 2018). 4 It also complements recent work by Garg et al (2016), which finds that increases in annual temperature exposure in India can impair test performance largely through impacts on agricultural yields and nutrition. Our study also has implications for the study of standardized test performance more generally.…”
Section: Introductionsupporting
confidence: 59%
“…However, Hsiang, Burke, and Miguel (2013) point out that in some contexts a potential cause of vulnerability could be credibly identified (or ruled out) if some exogenous change causes a key channel to appear for the first time or to be abruptly obstructed if it was already present, and a corresponding sharp change (or absence of change) in marginal losses is observed at that moment. Some recent examples of this approach include the demonstration that work-for-pay programs in India reduce the sensitivity of local violence to rainfall (Fetzer, 2014) and the sensitivity of child test scores to temperature (Garg, Jagani, and Taraz, 2017). Also, Sarsons (2015) shows that access to dams does not alter the rainfall-violence link in India.…”
Section: Identifying Heterogeneous Marginal Effects Of Climatementioning
confidence: 99%
“…A burgeoning literature has identified adverse short-term impacts of extreme temperatures on several population outcomes, including elderly mortality (Deschênes and Moretti, 2009;Deschênes and Greenstone, 2011), emergency department visits and hospitalizations (Green et al, 2010;White, 2017), and cognitive performance (Cho, 2017;Garg et al, 2018;Goodman et al, 2018;Graff Zivin, Hsiang, and Neidell, 2018). Further, two recent studies have shown that in utero heat exposure has lasting negative effects on long-term cognitive ability (Hu and Li, 2019) and adult earnings (Isen, Rossin-Slater, and Walker, 2017), highlighting the sensitivity of the prenatal period to extreme heat.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%