Precise outpatient volume prediction holds significant importance in hospital management. While the Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) is a frequently utilized deep learning technique for forecasting hospital outpatient volumes, creating a proficient GRU model necessitates the fine-tuning of pertinent GRU parametersThe adjustment of suchparameters relies heavily on an individual's practical experience and prior knowledge. The recently proposed Cheetah optimizer is a novel intelligent algorithm with unique optimization capabilities. The Cheetah optimizer holds significant research potential; however, additional investigations are warranted, as it may be vulnerable to issues related to local optimization. In the present study, the selection of hyperparameters for the GRU model wasoptimized through the utilization of the Modified Cheetah Optimization (MCO) algorithm, and a combined MCO-GRU model was established. Using the Successive Variational Mode Decomposition (SVMD) method to decompose outpatient volume sample data, the parameters of the GRU model were optimized with the MCO method to construct a hybrid forecasting model. This yielded the smallest Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) for the proposed model, with a value of 0.0843. Additionally, the results indicate that in comparison to SVMD, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), GRU, Particle Swarm Optimization-GRU (PSO-GRU), and Cheetah Optimization-GRU (CO-GRU), the proposed model significantly enhanced the accuracy of outpatient volume forecasting.
INDEX TERMSoutpatient volume prediction; GRU; MCO; SVMD; parameter optimization ABBREVIATIONS CO Cheetah Optimizer SARIMA Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model CC Correlation coefficient PSO-GRU Gated recurrent units model optimized by particle swarm optimization DBN Deep Belief Network CO-GRU Gated recurrent units model optimized by cheetah optimizer EMD Empirical Mode Decomposition MCO-GRU Gated recurrent units model optimized by modified Cheetah optimizer ETS Error Trend Seasonality AI Artificial Intelligence GA Genetic Algorithm ANN Artificial Neural Network GM Gray Model ARIMA Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model GRU Gated Recurrent Unit network Average Average value of the algorithm GWO Grey Wolf Optimizer Best Best value of the algorithm HW Holt-Winters model The associate editor coordinating the review of this manuscript and approving it for publication was ***** IMF Intrinsic Mode Functions LSTM Long Short Term Memory