2021
DOI: 10.3390/math9182295
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Hybrid of the Lee-Carter Model with Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform Filters in Forecasting Mortality Rates

Abstract: This study implements various, maximum overlap, discrete wavelet transform filters to model and forecast the time-dependent mortality index of the Lee-Carter model. The choice of appropriate wavelet filters is essential in effectively capturing the dynamics in a period. This cannot be accomplished by using the ARIMA model alone. In this paper, the ARIMA model is enhanced with the integration of various maximal overlap discrete wavelet transform filters such as the least asymmetric, best-localized, and Coiflet … Show more

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Cited by 6 publications
(6 citation statements)
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References 19 publications
(36 reference statements)
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“…MODWT stands as a modification of the traditional DWT, embodying a time shift-invariant methodology, as noted by (AL-Musaylh et al, 2020). This temporal shift invariance ensures that alterations in the signal induce analogous changes in the wavelet coefficients, emphasizing the method's consistency and reliability in capturing temporal variations within the signal ( (Yaacob et al, 2021); (P. Xu et al, 2022)).…”
Section: Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform (Modwt)mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…MODWT stands as a modification of the traditional DWT, embodying a time shift-invariant methodology, as noted by (AL-Musaylh et al, 2020). This temporal shift invariance ensures that alterations in the signal induce analogous changes in the wavelet coefficients, emphasizing the method's consistency and reliability in capturing temporal variations within the signal ( (Yaacob et al, 2021); (P. Xu et al, 2022)).…”
Section: Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform (Modwt)mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…While WT localizes in both the frequency (scale) and time (position) domain, FT only localizes in the frequency domain and not the time domain. The original time series data are transformed using the mathematical function WT into a time-scale domain [32]. The WT transforms the period (or frequency) of data without affecting time resolution.…”
Section: Modwt Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…where φ(f) is the FT that is a function of frequency f, φ(t). The applications of WT are image analysis and signal processing [32]. It overcomes the problem of FT, especially when dealing with time, space, or frequency.…”
Section: Plos Onementioning
confidence: 99%
“…The MODWT has been shown to cite faulty signal attributes in cross-country cases and growing errors, which are complex. Furthermore, Yaacob et al (2021) have researched the application of employing discrete wavelet transform filters, a combination of maximum overlap, modeling, and forecasting the time-dependent mortality index of the Lee-Carter model. Yousuf's research Yousuf et al (2021) integrates the MODWT with the ARIMA and adjusts the moving window MC.…”
Section: A Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%