The management of non-functioning pituitary tumors (NFPTs) relies on the risk of
tumor growth and new endocrinopathies. The objective of this systematic review
was to assess the risk of growth, new pituitary endocrinopathies, and surgery in
patients with conservatively treated NFPTs. We conducted a bibliographical
search identifying studies assessing NFPTs followed conservatively. Estimates
were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis reporting events per 100 person
years (PYs), in case of high heterogeneity (I2>75%) only the
range of observed effects was reported. We identified 30 cohort studies
including 1957 patients with a mean follow-up time of 4.0 (SD 1.5) years. The
overall risk of tumor growth ranged from 0.0 to 14.2/100 PYs
(I2=90%), while the overall risk of new endocrinopathies was
0.9/100 PYs (95% CI. 0.5 to 1.2; I2=35%)
and risk of surgery ranged from 0.0 to 7.7/100 PYs
(I2=80%). Compared to microadenomas, macroadenomas had
higher risk of growth (p=0.002), higher risk of surgery
(p=0.006), and non-significant differences in risk of new
endocrinopathies (p=0.15). An analysis of microadenomas found the
risk of growth to be 1.8/100 PYs (95% CI. 0.9 to 2.8;
I2=58%), the risk of new endocrinopathies
0.7/100 PYs (95% CI. 0.0 to 1.6; I2=37%)
and the risk of surgery 0.5/100 PYs (0.1 to 0.9;
I2=37%). These data support individualized follow-up
strategies of patients with NFPTs and particularly a less rigorous follow-up of
patients with microadenomas.