Rationale: It is hypothesized that the metabolic syndrome explains the association between body mass index (BMI) and asthma in adults. Objectives: Our objective was to longitudinally compare the relative strengths of the associations of the metabolic syndrome and BMI with incident asthma in adults. Methods: We included 4,619 eligible participants in the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) cohort followed over 25 years. Incident asthma was defined by a new self-reported provider asthma diagnosis plus either the presence of asthma symptoms and/or use of asthma medications. Cox proportional hazard analyses were performed. Measurements and Main Results: Six hundred two subjects (417 women and 185 men) developed incident asthma over 25 years of follow-up. Metabolic syndrome predicted incident asthma among women but not men (unadjusted hazard ratios, 1.50 and 0.98; P ¼ 0.01 and 0.93, respectively). BMI had a similar predictive association among women but not men (unadjusted hazard ratios, 1.19 and 1.04 per 5 units of BMI; P , 0.001 and 0.60, respectively). The association of metabolic syndrome with incident asthma in women was no longer statistically significant after adjustment for BMI (P ¼ 0.44). In contrast, the association of BMI with incident asthma in women remained statistically significant after adjusting for the metabolic syndrome (P ¼ 0.01). In a stepwise model, BMI was a stronger predictor than the metabolic syndrome (P ¼ 0.001). Conclusions: BMI is a stronger predictor of incident asthma among women than the metabolic syndrome. Other obesity-associated factors that are not a part of the metabolic syndrome may play a role in the BMI-asthma association in women.Keywords: incident asthma; metabolic syndrome; body mass index Obesity and asthma are chronic diseases that have increased in prevalence across the world over the last 2 decades (1, 2). During the period 2009 to 2010, 1 in 12 American adults had asthma, and more than one-third of American adults were obese (3, 4). Obesity, as defined by elevated body mass index (BMI) of 30 kg/m 2 or more, is a risk factor for asthma, particularly among women. The basis for this association, however, remains unclear. The metabolic syndrome, as defined by the third Adult Treatment Panel (ATP-III) criteria (5), includes the presence of any three of the following five traits: abdominal adiposity (waist circumference . 102 cm in men and . 88 cm in women), hypertriglyceridemia (>150 mg/dl or drug treatment for high triglycerides), low high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol levels (,40 mg/dl in men and ,50 mg/dl in women or drug treatment for low HDL), elevated blood pressure (>130/85 mm Hg or drug treatment for elevated blood pressure), and impaired fasting blood glucose or diabetes mellitus (>100 mg/dl or antidiabetic drug treatment) (6). Some epidemiologic studies suggest that waist circumference-defined abdominal adiposity, one of the characteristics of the metabolic syndrome, is more strongly associated with prevalent asthma than is BMI-defined...