Temperature-responsive liquid chromatography (TRLC) offers a promising alternative to reversed-phase liquid chromatography (RPLC) for environmentally friendly analytical techniques by utilizing pure water as a mobile phase, eliminating the need for harmful organic solvents. TRLC columns, packed with temperature-responsive polymers coupled to silica particles, exhibit a unique retention mechanism influenced by temperature-induced polymer hydration. An investigation of the physicochemical parameters driving separation at high and low temperatures is crucial for better column manufacturing and selectivity control. Assessment of predictability using a dataset of 139 molecules analyzed at different temperatures elucidated the molecular descriptors (MDs) relevant to retention mechanisms. Linear regression, support vector regression (SVR), and tree-based ensemble models were evaluated, with no standout performer. The precision, accuracy, and robustness of models were validated through metrics, such as r and mean absolute error (MAE), and statistical analysis. At $$45\,^{\circ }\hbox {C}$$
45
∘
C
, logP predominantly influenced retention, akin to reversed-phase columns, while at $$5^{\circ }\hbox {C}$$
5
∘
C
, complex interactions with lipophilic and negative MDs, along with specific functional groups, dictated retention. These findings provide deeper insights into TRLC mechanisms, facilitating method development and maximizing column potential.