2009
DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0068.2009.00713.x
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The Anatomy of the Big Bad Bug*

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Cited by 25 publications
(14 citation statements)
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“…The motivation problem belongs exclusively to the reductionist side of the debate: after realizing that one of the most natural ways of spelling out the epistemic role of chance, Lewis' Principal Principle, is incompatible with the metaphysical assumptions of reductionism pertaining chance, the reductionist side came to face the problem of finding and motivating a credence-chance principle that is both consistent with its metaphysical assumptions and that is conceptually well-motivated. Following Briggs (2009), I argued that the reductionists do not fare well in answering this problem.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…The motivation problem belongs exclusively to the reductionist side of the debate: after realizing that one of the most natural ways of spelling out the epistemic role of chance, Lewis' Principal Principle, is incompatible with the metaphysical assumptions of reductionism pertaining chance, the reductionist side came to face the problem of finding and motivating a credence-chance principle that is both consistent with its metaphysical assumptions and that is conceptually well-motivated. Following Briggs (2009), I argued that the reductionists do not fare well in answering this problem.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…What about the reductionist? Suppose she successfully answers the problems identified by Briggs (2009) and summarized in section 3, or suppose she accepts them as a cost she has to live with. Can she successfully meet her share of the explanation problem?…”
Section: 3 Unvindicating Reductionismmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…There is a large literature of attempts to solve (or dissolve) the "Big Bad Bug," and many replies, but I will not survey those here. For further reading, please see David Lewis (1994), Ned Hall (1994), Jenann Ismael (2008), and Rachael Briggs (2009). • Past events always have chances of one or zero.…”
Section: One Metaphysical Chancementioning
confidence: 99%
“…A third point of contention is over whether we should abandon the New Principle, since some have argued that there are abstract reasons for favoring the New Principle over the Principal Principle (see Hall (2004)), though others have argued that adopting the New Principle violates the spirit of the regularity approach (see Hoefer (1997), Briggs (2009)). A fourth point of contention is over whether this restriction succeeds in avoiding undermining worries (see Briggs (2009)). 26 In particular, Hoefer argues that the restriction to "small-to-medium sized" events trivializes the New Principle.…”
Section: The Accountmentioning
confidence: 99%