Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is closely correlated to several metabolic syndrome features. We assessed prospectively whether NAFLD predicts future cardiovascular disease (CVD) events among type 2 diabetic individuals, independent of metabolic syndrome features and other classical risk factors. We carried out a prospective nested case-control study in 2,103 type 2 diabetic patients who were free of diagnosed CVD at baseline. During 5 years of follow-up, 248 participants (case subjects) subsequently developed nonfatal coronary heart disease (myocardial infarction and coronary revascularization procedures), ischemic stroke, or cardiovascular death. Using risk-set sampling, 496 patients (control subjects) among those who remained free of diagnosed CVD during follow-up were randomly selected in a 2:1 ratio, matched for age and sex to the case subjects. After adjustment for age, sex, smoking history, diabetes duration, HbA 1c , LDL cholesterol, liver enzymes, and use of medications, the presence of NAFLD was significantly associated with an increased CVD risk (odds ratio 1.84, 95% CI 1.4 -2.1, P < 0.001). Additional adjustment for the metabolic syndrome (as defined by National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III criteria) appreciably attenuated, but did not abolish, this association (1.53, 1.1-1.7, P ؍ 0.02). In conclusion, NAFLD is significantly associated with a moderately increased CVD risk among type 2 diabetic individuals. This relationship is independent of classical risk factors and is only partly explained by occurrence of metabolic syndrome. Diabetes 54: [3541][3542][3543][3544][3545][3546] 2005 N onalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is currently the most common abnormality observed in hepatology practice. NAFLD is a clinicopathologic syndrome that is closely correlated to visceral obesity, dyslipidemia, insulin resistance, and type 2 diabetes, thus suggesting that NAFLD is another feature of the metabolic syndrome (1-4).A great deal of evidence suggests that the metabolic syndrome predicts incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) (5-8), so it is possible to hypothesize that NAFLD patients might portend a greater CVD risk and that NAFLD itself might confer a CVD risk above that associated with individual metabolic syndrome risk factors. Recent crosssectional studies have clearly documented that patients with NAFLD have, other than several features resembling the metabolic syndrome, a markedly greater carotid artery wall thickness than those without NAFLD (9,10). This finding was also validated by the results of a large population-based study (11). However, carotid artery wall thickness is only a marker of early generalized atherosclerosis (12), so currently it is uncertain whether NAFLD is significantly associated with increased risk of future CVD events. Clarification of this aspect may help to explain the underlying mechanisms and may be of clinical importance for undertaking preventive and therapeutic strategies. We have, therefore, assessed prospectively in a large sam...