Identifying Independent Predictors of Short-Term Postoperative Morbidity in Patients Undergoing Cranioplasty

Abstract

Background: The present study intends to identify independent predictors of short-term postoperative complications and health utilization in patients undergoing cranioplasty. Methods: Demographic, clinical, and intraoperative characteristics were collected for each patient undergoing cranioplasty in the National Surgery Quality Improvement Program database from 2011 to 2020. The 30-day outcomes analyzed were medical complications, wound complications, return to the operating room, extended hospital stay, and non-home discharge. Bivariate analyses were initially used to identify variables that yielded a P value less than 0.2 which were subsequently analyzed in a multivariate logistic regression to identify independent predictors of the aforementioned outcomes. Results: In total, 2316 patients undergoing cranioplasty were included in the analysis. Increased operative time and totally dependent functional status significantly increased odds of returning to the operating room. Increased age, operative time, cranioplasty size >5 cm, and various comorbidities were associated with increased odds of non-home discharge. Bleeding disorders were independently associated with increased odds of wound complications. Increased age, operative time, cranioplasty size >5 cm, and several medical history features predisposed to medical complications. Demographic characteristics, including age and race, along with various operative and medical history characteristics were associated with increased odds of extended length of stay. Conclusions Identification of risk factors can help guide preoperative risk management in cranioplasty.