2016
DOI: 10.1007/11157_2015_16
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Imagining the Unimaginable: Communicating Extreme Volcanic Risk

Abstract: This chapter considers the challenges surrounding the management of extreme volcanic risk. We examine eruption scenarios based on past episodes and assess the key issues that might arise should similar events occur in the future. The nature of such eruptions will entail transboundary and multi-scalar hazards. In a globalised world, the geopolitical and societal issues that are likely to emerge cannot all be predicted, and communication technologies themselves are likely to be affected. We explore two aspects: … Show more

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Cited by 12 publications
(10 citation statements)
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“…9). Moreover, and perhaps more usefully still, the Laacher See can be used as a case study for seriously thinking through the societal consequences and responses to events of this magnitude and to do so in a manner that is historically informed by what we know of past impacts (Donovan and Oppenheimer, 2016;Riede, 2017a). A strategic and balanced inclusion of the Laacher See's dark heritage would likely further increase the region's and the eruption event's appeal and hence lift the reach of any associated educational initiatives up on a supra-regional scale.…”
Section: Laacher See Germanymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…9). Moreover, and perhaps more usefully still, the Laacher See can be used as a case study for seriously thinking through the societal consequences and responses to events of this magnitude and to do so in a manner that is historically informed by what we know of past impacts (Donovan and Oppenheimer, 2016;Riede, 2017a). A strategic and balanced inclusion of the Laacher See's dark heritage would likely further increase the region's and the eruption event's appeal and hence lift the reach of any associated educational initiatives up on a supra-regional scale.…”
Section: Laacher See Germanymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…While it may be difficult to provide quantitative estimates of societal disaster responses other than and beyond death tolls and property damage, there is remarkable overlap between the ways of thinking used in volcanological scenario elicitations and Staley's proposal to use historical thinking as a rigorous means of framing future societal trajectories. Add to this Clarke's argument for the importance of rare events, we end with a necessarily interdisciplinary conceptual framework that assists in, as demanded by and Donovan and Oppenheimer (2017), 'imagining the unimaginable' in efforts to communicate extreme environmental risks. One specific tool developed to integrate both natural and human science sources of information in constructing scenarios is labelled Realistic Disaster Scenarios (Mazzorana et al 2009).…”
Section: )mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Becoming well informed about hazards and effective protective measures requires pre-crisis trust-building among scientists and emergency officials and a complex web of stakeholders as noted by Mileti and Sorensen (1990); Mileti (1999); Barclay et al (2008); Paton et al (1999); Haynes et al (2008a); Marzocchi et al (2012); and more recently by Donovan and Oppenheimer (2016) and Becker et al (2017). Mileti refers to the necessity of "long-term ongoing conversations" between scientists and stakeholders, which require two-way and long-term investment.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…On this issue, Fischhoff (1995) adds that the best hope for successful planning may come through a complex network of mutually respectful relationships. Numerous researchers have recognized that long-term trust, credibility, and community participation can be established through repeated informal interactions and formal demonstrations of agency commitment (Peters et al 1997;Peterson 1988;GNS 1999;Newhall et al 1999;Cronin et al 2004aCronin et al , 2004bRonan and Johnston (2005); Guffanti et al 2006;Pierce County 2006;Peek et al (2008); Haynes et al 2008a andHaynes et al 2008b;McGuire et al 2009; and more recently in Donovan et al 2014, Donovan andOppenheimer 2016). This relationship building can facilitate response capabilities and identify areas for improvement (Paton and Jackson 2002;Doyle et al 2015).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%