“…3 4 However, it is important to recognise the application of surrogates in the wider setting of healthcare evaluation (including trials of public health, diagnostic, surgical, mental health, primary care, rehabilitation interventions) and the use of so-called intermediate outcomes (outcome on the causal path for PRFO that can be measured earlier and are predictive) as surrogates, for example, hospice enrolment for mortality with an intervention aimed at improving end of life care 5 ; fruit and vegetable consumption for cardiovascular events for a behavioural intervention designed to improve cardiovascular risk. 6 Despite their benefits, the use of surrogates in evaluation and regulatory approval of health interventions remains controversial. First, some therapies, approved based on surrogates, have failed to deliver improved PRFOs, and in some cases, cause more overall harm than good, treatment effects are often not all mediated through the surrogate-PRFO causal pathway.…”