Objective: The aim of this study was to assess the performance of the European System of Cardiac Operation Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) model to predict mortality of patients undergoing coronary artery bypass surgery in the Cardiovascular Surgery Division of Santa Casa de São Paulo Medical School.Methods: From May 2005 to November 2006, 100 consecutive patients undergoing coronary artery bypass surgery were retrospectively analyzed. The records of these patients were reviewed in order to retrieve the variables included in the EuroSCORE method. The correlation of predicted and observed mortality was compared. Statistical analysis was performed using the chi-square test for univariate analysis and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test for logistic regression.Results: Hospital mortality was 5%. The EuroSCORE univariate analysis findings were as follows: score 0-2 predicted mortality 0.40%, observed 0.00%; score 3-5 predicted mortality 1.45%, observed 0.00%; score greater than 6 predicted mortality 3.15%, observed 7.94%. In spite of these differences the p-value was 0.213 demonstrating no statistical significance. The p-value for the HosmerLemeshow test was < 0.001 indicating poor calibration of the model for this sample.Conclusion: The EuroSCORE model is a simple,
263CAMPAGNUCCI, VP ET AL -EuroSCORE and the patients undergoing coronary bypass surgery at Santa Casa de São Paulo Aplicamos o teste do qui-quadrado para análise univariada e o teste de Hosmer-Lemeshow para ajuste do modelo de regressão logística.Resultados: A mortalidade hospitalar foi 5,0%. Na análise univariada, para escore 0-2 a mortalidade prevista pelo EuroSCORE foi de 0,40% e a encontrada 0%. Para o escore 3-5, a mortalidade prevista foi de 1,45% e a encontrada 0%. Para escore >6, a mortalidade prevista foi de 3,15% e a encontrada 7,94%. As discrepâncias entre as porcentagens observadas e previstas não foram estatisticamente significantes (p = 0,213