Impact of Classical Risk Factors on Subclinical Carotid Atherosclerosis Progression: Insights from a Non-Diabetic Cohort

Abstract

Background: Several markers have been proposed for the detection and progression of subclinical atherosclerosis. We aimed to analyse the impact of classical risk factors on the presence and short-term progression of subclinical carotid atherosclerosis in a non-diabetic, primary prevention cohort. Methods: This analysis included participants with completed visits at baseline and at 5-year follow-up (N = 141; 56.7% females, 43.3% males; aged 49.6 4.7 years). Clinical and laboratory parameters, risk profiles, carotid artery intima-media thickness (CIMT) and plaque presence were analysed. Results: There was a significant progression in mean CIMT (0.54 0.09 mm–0.62 0.10 mm; p 0.001), prevalence of carotid plaque (4.8%–17.9%; p 0.001) and age- and sex-adjusted abnormal CIMT (52.9%–78.8%; p 0.001) at the end of follow-up, compared to baseline. In multivariate regression analysis, among the classical risk factors, their number, metabolic syndrome and SCORE (Systematic Coronary Risk Estimation) risk only the number of risk factors showed an independent and significant impact on the occurrence of a carotid plaque (Exp(B) = 1.71; p = 0.017) and 5-year CIMT progression. Conclusions: During a short follow-up, the significant progression of subclinical atherosclerosis was confirmed. The number of risk factors predicted the occurrence of carotid plaques and CIMT progression. The high prevalence and short-term progression of subclinical carotid atherosclerosis underly the rationale for its screening in personalized cardiovascular risk stratification in asymptomatic middle-aged subjects over 50 years old, at low-to moderate cardiovascular risk, particularly with several risk factors.