Impact of Climate Change on the Glacier and Runoff of a Glacierized Basin in Harlik Mountain, Eastern Tianshan Mountains

Zhou, Ping; Zhang, Hui; Li, Zhongqin

doi:10.3390/rs14143497

Cited by 6 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 49 publications

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“…In the Tianshan Mountains, which are known as the ‘Water Tower in Central Asia’, the precipitation is several times greater than that of the plains (An et al, 2020; Yue et al, 2020). Precipitation is an important water supply for the surrounding rivers and lakes (Huai et al, 2018; Zhou et al, 2022), as well as supporting the population and economic development in plains (Fang et al, 2015; Li & Deng, 2021). Based on GCMs and a DEM, this research produced high‐resolution precipitation datasets, which will be useful for meteorological forecasting and sustainable development in Central Asia (Kong & Pang, 2012; Sorg et al, 2012).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Development of high‐resolution monthly precipitation datasets for geomorphological applications in the Tianshan Mountains from 2000 to 2050

Fan,

Xu,

Chen

et al. 2024

Earth Surf Processes Landf

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Precipitation has a fundamental influence on landscape evolution and erosion rates. Accurate predictions of precipitation changes are crucial for landscape evolution modelling and erosion modelling. The Tianshan Mountains are known as the ‘Water Tower in Central Asia’, where precipitation is the main water supply for the surrounding lakes and rivers and also supports the population and economic development in the plain areas. This study developed a global climate model (GCM) and digital elevation model (DEM)‐based downscaling method and simulated high‐resolution monthly precipitation in Tianshan from 2000 to 2050, with a resolution of 90 m. The datasets developed from 30 surface observation stations had a high degree of precision and simulated the precipitation processes well in the historical period. The simulation results indicated that precipitation will increase at a rate of 11 mm/decade under the SSP245 scenario and 5 mm/decade under the RCP4.5 scenario from 2022 to 2050. Spatially, precipitation was projected to increase in the central and eastern regions and decrease in the western region. In the Kaidu, Urumqi and Manas river basins in the central Tianshan Mountains, precipitation was projected to increase at a rate of 20 mm/decade. The datasets developed here have important theoretical and practical implications for water resource management, and sustainable development in Central Asia.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Development of high‐resolution monthly precipitation datasets for geomorphological applications in the Tianshan Mountains from 2000 to 2050

Fan,

Xu,

Chen

et al. 2024

Earth Surf Processes Landf

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Tianshan), is not necessarily attributed to increase in precipitation. It however could be because of the increasing glacial meltwater induced by a warmer climate 60 . The wetting trend in areas due to increasing glacial meltwater could be temporary in phase with the shrinking of glaciers 61 .…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Spatial patterns of climate change and associated climate hazards in Northwest China

Chi

Zheng

et al. 2023

Sci Rep

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Northwest China (NWC) is experiencing noticeable climate change accompanied with increasing impacts of climate hazards induced by changes in climate extremes. Towards developing climate adaptation strategies to mitigate the negative climatic impacts on both the ecosystem and socioeconomic system of the region, this study investigates systematically the spatial patterns of climate change and the associated climate hazards across NWC based on high resolution reanalysis climate dataset for the period 1979 to 2018. We find that NWC overall is under a warming and wetting transition in climate with change rate of temperature and precipitation around 0.49 °C/10a and 22.8 mm/10a respectively. Characteristics of climate change over the NWC however vary considerably in space. According to significance of long-term trends in both temperature and aridity index for each 0.1° × 0.1° grids, five types of climate change are identified across NWC, including warm-wetting, warm-drying, warm without wetting, wetting without warming and unchanging. The warm-wetting zone accounts for the largest proportion of the region (41%) and mainly locates in the arid or semi-arid northwestern NWC. Our findings show most region of NWC is under impacts of intensifying heatwave and rainstorm due to significant increases in high temperature extremes and precipitation extremes. The warming but without wetting zone is found under a more severe impact of heatwave, particularly for areas near northern Mount. Qinling and northern Loess Plateau. Areas with stronger wetting trend is suffering more from rainstorm.

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Seasonally extreme temperature events accelerate in arid northwestern China during 1979–2018

Zhu,

Wu,

Zhang

et al. 2024

Atmospheric Research

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Impact of Climate Change on the Glacier and Runoff of a Glacierized Basin in Harlik Mountain, Eastern Tianshan Mountains

Cited by 6 publications

References 49 publications

Development of high‐resolution monthly precipitation datasets for geomorphological applications in the Tianshan Mountains from 2000 to 2050

Development of high‐resolution monthly precipitation datasets for geomorphological applications in the Tianshan Mountains from 2000 to 2050

Spatial patterns of climate change and associated climate hazards in Northwest China

Seasonally extreme temperature events accelerate in arid northwestern China during 1979–2018

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