Impact of crisis events on Chinese outbound tourist flow: A framework for post-events growth

Abstract

A B S T R A C TInternational tourism is highly susceptible to external political, economic and environmental crisis events. This paper consists of two studies. Study 1 uses time-series monthly data and the TRAMO/SEATS model to detect and estimate the impact of a range of political, economic and environmental crisis events on the tourist flows from China to Japan and South Korea during the period of 2005-2017. Study 2 uses in-depth interviews to investigate the factors intensifying or alleviating the negative impacts of these crisis events on tourism as well as factors contributing to post-events tourism recovery and growth. Results identify the varying levels of impacts caused by event type and other causative factors for negative impacts. The paper discusses the influence of these factors to provide references to relevant stakeholders for strategic planning, policy making and recovery and growth scheme development.

Tourism recovery strategy against COVID-19 pandemic

“…This research aims to examine the aftermath of crises and disasters (Jin et al, 2019). The impact is crucial to be understood for counter-strategy and/or recovery.…”

“…And organizing the crisis and disasters into categories facilitates our understanding of them. Certain research direction focuses on the effectiveness of crisis and disaster management strategies (Jiang & Ritchie, 2017;Jin et al, 2019;Ritchie, 2004). Some studies (e.g.…”

“…TCDM study, therefore, requires an interdisciplinary approach to provide a more holistic understanding of the subject (Wen et al, 2020). This may include political, economic, environmental, social science, marketing, and other fields (Jin et al, 2019;Rosenfield, 1992). Pandemic, such as the outbreak of COVID-19, is an international event.…”

The effects of natural disasters on international tourism: A global analysis

“…Existing studies have taken a case study approach (e.g. for Chinese outbound tourism, see Jin, Qu, & Bao, 2019), but a global analysis is missing (Ghaderi, Mat Som, & Henderson, 2014;J� onsd� ottir, 2011;Mazzocchi & Montini, 2001;Ruci� nska & Lechowicz, 2014). It is therefore timely to undertake a global study that uses a consistent approach to measuring the impact of disasters on international tourism movements.…”

Review of research on tourism-related diseases

“…Assessing potential risk is a stage of understanding the risks and crises. It aims to modify the disaster preparedness framework and help the tourism industry and relevant departments to make decisions and conduct strategic planning (Faisal et al, 2020;Jin et al, 2019). In addition, crisis communication, multiregional and departmental cooperation, establishment of procedures, and dissemination of accurate and regular information have also been studied by many scholars to prove their effectiveness in risk management (Avraham, 2015;Luo & Zhai, 2017;Novelli et al, 2018;Sano & Sano, 2019).…”