Background / Objective
Limited mobility in the community, measured by life-space, is
associated with long-term mortality; but little is known about changes in
life-space over time predicting short-term mortality. We examined 6-month
change in life-space mobility as a predictor of subsequent 6-month mortality
for community-dwelling older adults.
Design
Prospective cohort study.
Setting
Community-dwelling older adults from five Alabama counties in the
University of Alabama at Birmingham (UAB) Study of Aging.
Participants
A random sample of 1000 Medicare beneficiaries, stratified by gender,
race, and rural/urban residence, recruited between November 1999 and
February 2001, followed by telephone interview every 6 months for the
subsequent 8.5 years.
Interventions
None.
Measures
Mortality data was determined from informant contacts and confirmed
by the National Death Index and Social Security Death Index. Life-space was
measured at each interview using the UAB Life-Space Assessment, a validated
instrument for assessing community mobility. A total of 11,817 6-month
life-space change scores were calculated over 8.5 years of follow-up.
Generalized linear mixed models were used to test predictors of mortality in
subsequent 6-month intervals.
Results
There were 354 deaths that occurred within 6 months of two sequential
life-space assessments. Controlling for age, gender, race, rural/urban
residence, and comorbidity, life-space score and life-space decline over the
preceding 6-month interval predicted mortality. A 10-point decrease in
life-space resulted in a 72% increase in odds of dying over the
subsequent 6 months (OR = 1.723, p < 0.001).
Conclusions
Both life-space score at the beginning of a 6-month interval and
life-space decline over 6 months were associated with significant increases
in subsequent 6-month mortality. Life-space assessment may assist clinicians
to identify older adults at risk for short-term mortality.