Impact of global warming and other climatic condition for generation of wind energy and assessing the wind potential for future trends

Kumar, M. B. Hemanth; Saravanan, B.

doi:10.1109/ipact.2017.8245103

Cited by 5 publications

(2 citation statements)

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“…32 Several other authors also have studied predictive models of future wind speed and concluded that predictions vary according to local weather conditions, season of the year and even the chosen mathematical model. 9,[33][34][35] Therefore, most investigations allows us to conclude that global warming effect on wind potential is a region-dependent issue and need to be carefully studied on a region basis to create credible trending models. In the meantime, overall uncertainties must be accrued in the analysis of future wind power plants in order to prevent negative financial outcome and the failure of otherwise promising projects.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…8 Wind power can be produced thanks to the wind, which is the product of atmospheric pressure changes along the surface of the Earth, and it responds to the nonuniform heating of the planet's surface. 9 Therefore, prevailing climatic conditions on the specific location of a wind farm have a direct effect on their capacity factor (ie, the average power generation, divided by the rated capacity) and it is expected to vary in forthcoming years according to climate change evolution. 10,11 Moreover, climate change would lead to both a higher frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, which may have negative effects on the generation of wind energy.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Potential impact of global warming on wind power production in Central Asia

Turgali

Kopeyeva

Dikhanbayeva

et al. 2021

Env Prog and Sustain Energy

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Global warming is affecting the Earth's surface temperature and consequently the intensity of near-surface airstreams and wind power potential in many regions. Conversely, global wind power installed capacity is continuously growing during the last years. The economic viability and sustainability of centralized wind projects relies heavily on wind resources, efficient technologies, and an attractive and dynamic Feed-in-Tariff (FIT). Therefore, this study assesses the potential effect of global warming on the life-cycle techno-economic viability of future wind power projects in Central Asia, specifically in Kazakhstan. Hence, the Ereymentau Wind Power Plant (WPP) in the Northern region of Kazakhstan was selected as case study. Historic data showed that monthly averaged wind speed and ambient pressure can be treated as statistically stationary, and only the air density drop due to temperature increase of 0.2 C per decade is assumed in the present study. Our results predict a reduction in Net Present Value, Benefit-Cost Ratio, and Internal Rate of Return of 29 million KZT, of 0.0015, and 0.03%, respectively, in the lifetime of Ereymentau WPP. Moreover, an Equity payback increase of 0.4 years and a drop of 987 tCO 2e in GHG emission reductions are projected. Consequently, our results indicate that global warming, despite of being a global problem of significance, would have a negligible impact in ongoing plans to develop the wind potential in Northern regions of Eurasian countries sharing similar conditions to those present in Ereymentau-Kazakhstan.

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