Background
There is no consensus regarding the risk stratification scores for elderly patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). We aimed to compare the prognostic predictive ability of the current clinical scoring indices in DLBCL elderly patients treated with the R-CODP regimen (rituximab, cyclophosphamide, pegylated liposomal doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone).
Methods
We retrospectively collected the data of elderly DLBCL patients who received the R-CODP regimen as the first-line treatment. The efficacy of the regimen was evaluated. The Akaike information criteria (AIC), concordance index (C-index), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were used to assess the fitness and prognostic performance of the current clinical prognostic indices.
Results
In the total of 158 patients enrolled, the median follow-up time was 6.7 years (95% CI: 6.3–7.9), and the 5-year OS was 52.8% (95% CI: 45.5%–61.2%). The International Prognostic Index (IPI), National Comprehensive Cancer Network-IPI (NCCN-IPI), and Elderly International Prognostic Index (E-IPI) were all significantly associated with OS (P < 0.001 for all). However, no significance was observed in 5-year OS in the low- vs low-intermediate-risk groups for IPI (P = 0.377), NCCN-IPI (P = 0.238), and E-IPI (P = 0.080). Compared with the IPI and NCCN-IPI, the E-IPI had the lowest AIC value of 747.5 and the highest C-index of 0.692. For predicting 5-year mortality, the E-IPI showed better performance (AUC: 0.715 for E-IPI vs 0.676 for IPI, P = 0.036), with the IDI of 6.29% (95% CI: 3.71%-8.88%, P < 0.001) and 4.80% (95% CI: 1.32%-8.28%, P = 0.007) compared to the IPI and NCCN-IPI, respectively.
Conclusion
The E-IPI might be a better prognostic prediction model in Chinese DLBCL generics treated with R-CODP for predicting 5-year mortality. However, the IPI, NCCN-IPI, and E-IPI did not seem to be able to distinguish patients with a favorable prognosis well.