The grim status of India’s air quality is commonly
attributed
to alarming levels of particulate matter (PM). This has led to the
government formulating several strategies to control PM in the country.
For example, the National Clean Air Programme (NCAP) was launched
in 2019 to reduce 30% PM concentrations by 2024 in nonattainment cities
(NACs). However, studies across the world found these PM-centric action
plans to be detrimental to ozone-related air quality. The present
study is among the first few investigations that employ the Weather
Research and Forecasting coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) model to
comprehensively understand the effect of the NCAP on PM and ozone
in India. In the 2024 business-as-usual scenario, while 50% of NACs
have deteriorating PM2.5 levels, all but 32% of other NACs
meet the Indian National Ambient Air Quality Standards (INAAQS) with
the NCAP. The NACs that violated the INNAQS are mainly situated in
the Indo-Gangetic Plain. For ozone, with the implementation of the
NCAP, 80% of NACs meet the INAAQS. This reduction in ozone is attributed
to the indicator ratio of formaldehyde to oxides of nitrogen (HCHO/NOy),
indicating that the Indian region is volatile organic compound-limited
(VOC-limited), and thereby, reduction in nitrogen oxides and VOC emissions
results in a decrease in ozone. Further, another reason can be the
increase in forest cover as a part of the NCAP, which has increased
ozone deposition velocity by ∼10.5%. This study indicates that
the current action plans of India, if implemented successfully, can
also alleviate the problem of secondary pollutants like ozone, saving
around 12% of lives.