Impacts of Climate Change on Lepidoptera Species and Communities

Kocsis, Márton

doi:10.15666/aeer/0901_043072

Cited by 59 publications

(41 citation statements)

References 164 publications

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“…In addition to causing local and regional extinctions, climate change can alter the size and location of the range and patterns of abundance and phenology of species [38]. Many lepidopterans, including Arctiinae species [65], are agricultural pests and changes in range, abundance and phenology of these species may increase the rate of invasion and increase the damage intensity they can cause [66], [67].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Reduced Effectiveness of Protected Areas under Climate Change Threatens Atlantic Forest Tiger Moths

et al. 2014

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Climate change leads to species' range shifts, which may end up reducing the effectiveness of protected areas. These deleterious changes in biodiversity may become amplified if they include functionally important species, such as herbivores or pollinators. We evaluated how effective protected areas in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest are in maintaining the diversity of tiger moths (Arctiinae) under climate change. Specifically, we assessed whether protected areas will gain or lose species under climate change and mapped their locations in the Atlantic Forest, in order to assess potential spatial patterns of protected areas that will gain or lose species richness. Comparisons were completed using modeled species occurrence data based on the current and projected climate in 2080. We also built a null model for random allocation of protected areas to identify where reductions in species richness will be more severe than expected. We employed several modern techniques for modeling species' distributions and summarized results using ensembles of models. Our models indicate areas of high species richness in the central and southern regions of the Atlantic Forest both for now and the future. However, we estimate that in 2080 these regions should become climatically unsuitable, decreasing the species' distribution area. Around 4% of species were predicted to become extinct, some of them being endemic to the biome. Estimates of species turnover from current to future climate tended to be high, but these findings are dependent on modeling methods. Our most important results show that only a few protected areas in the southern region of the biome would gain species. Protected areas in semideciduous forests in the western region of the biome would lose more species than expected by the null model employed. Hence, current protected areas are worse off, than just randomly selected areas, at protecting species in the future.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Reduced Effectiveness of Protected Areas under Climate Change Threatens Atlantic Forest Tiger Moths

et al. 2014

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“…In animals, an increasing number of studies have shown changes in species distributions related to warming and drought (Guo et al ., ; Lenoir et al ., ; Kocsis & Hufnagel, ). Because of their higher mobility, animals have a greater capacity than plants to escape unfavorable climatic conditions.…”

Section: Responses Of Populationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Evidence of current impact of climate change on life: a walk from genes to the biosphere

Peñuelas

Sardans

Estiarte

et al. 2013

Global Change Biology

349

293

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We review the evidence of how organisms and populations are currently responding to climate change through phenotypic plasticity, genotypic evolution, changes in distribution and, in some cases, local extinction. Organisms alter their gene expression and metabolism to increase the concentrations of several antistress compounds and to change their physiology, phenology, growth and reproduction in response to climate change. Rapid adaptation and microevolution occur at the population level. Together with these phenotypic and genotypic adaptations, the movement of organisms and the turnover of populations can lead to migration toward habitats with better conditions unless hindered by barriers. Both migration and local extinction of populations have occurred. However, many unknowns for all these processes remain. The roles of phenotypic plasticity and genotypic evolution and their possible trade-offs and links with population structure warrant further research. The application of omic techniques to ecological studies will greatly favor this research. It remains poorly understood how climate change will result in asymmetrical responses of species and how it will interact with other increasing global impacts, such as N eutrophication, changes in environmental N : P ratios and species invasion, among many others. The biogeochemical and biophysical feedbacks on climate of all these changes in vegetation are also poorly understood. We here review the evidence of responses to climate change and discuss the perspectives for increasing our knowledge of the interactions between climate change and life.

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“…These changes can increase their population in the recent inhabited areas and by moderating the climate in the temperate areas of Europe can facilitate the migration of these arthropod vectors to North (De la Roque et al, 2008).Higher temperatures can induce earlier flight of adult insects, eg. Lepidoptera species (Kocsis and Hufnagel, 2011).The human factors, travelling, livestock are also important determinants of the abundance (Ready, 2010). Rioux et al (1985) found that the raising of temperature significantly increased the overall proportion of infected sandflies.Heat, humidity, and sufficient organic matter are the main effectors of the larval development of sand fly species (Naucke, 2002;Lindgren and Naucke, 2006), while the increasing CO 2 levels are usually unfavourably affecting the development of the insect larvae (Kocsis and Hufnagel, 2011).The differences in the environmental requirements between Phlebotomus species are noticeable in their different habitats: in France P. ariasi mostly live in the wet and mild climate of mountain forests, while P. perniciosus occupy the warm and drier Mediterranean coastal plains (Chamailléet al, 2010).Leishmaniasis is an emerging disease in Europe and one of the first signs of the establishment in a new area of leishmaniasis is that the parasite makes new autochthonous foci in the dog populations (Köhler et …”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Effect of Climate Change on the Potential Distribution of the European Phlebotomus Species

Tràjer¹

2013

Appl Ecol Env Res

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Abstract. Our study intended to explore the potential distributionshif of Phlebotomusariasi, P. neglectus, P. perfiliewi, P. perniciosus, and P. tobbi, and some other sandfly species: P. papatasi, P. sergenti, and P. similis. We used climate envelope modeling (CEM) method to determine the ecological requirements of the species and to model the potential distribution for three periods (1961-1990, 2011-2040, and 2041-2070). We found that by the end of the 2060's the Southern UK, Germany, entire France and also the western part of Poland can be colonized by sandfly species, mostly by P. ariasi and P. pernicosus. P. ariasishowe the greatest potential northward expansion, from 49°N to 59°N. For all of the studied sand fly species the entire Mediterranean Basin, the Balkan Peninsula, the Carpathian Basin, and northern coastline of the Black Sea are potentially suitable. The length of the predicted active period of the vectors will increase with one or two months.

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Impacts of Climate Change on Lepidoptera Species and Communities

Cited by 59 publications

References 164 publications

The Reduced Effectiveness of Protected Areas under Climate Change Threatens Atlantic Forest Tiger Moths

The Reduced Effectiveness of Protected Areas under Climate Change Threatens Atlantic Forest Tiger Moths

Evidence of current impact of climate change on life: a walk from genes to the biosphere

The Effect of Climate Change on the Potential Distribution of the European Phlebotomus Species

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