Impacts of Europe's changing climate – 2008 indicator based assessment

Jol, Andre; Raes, Frank; Menne, Bettina

doi:10.1088/1755-1307/6/29/292042

Cited by 26 publications

(6 citation statements)

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“…These monitoring stations are located in Port Said, Alexandria, and Burg Al-Burullus. The measurements show a SLR rate of 5.3 mm/year for Port Said, 1.6 mm/year for Alexandria, and 2.3 mm/year for Burg Al-Burullus, the Egyptian Environmental Affairs Agency in 2008 (Jol et al 2009). The net rise in sea levels is 1.2 mm/ year in Alexandria, 1.2 mm/year in Burg Al-Burullus, and 1.95 mm/year in Port Said.…”

Section: Sea Level Risementioning

confidence: 96%

Reappraisal of tsunami hazard for the Northern Coastal of Egypt considering sea level rise and delta subsidence scenarios

Kamhawy¹,

Hassan

El-Kosery

2023

Arab J Geosci

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In this research, we have compiled a catalogue of the worst tsunami earthquakes that caused destruction and losses in the northern coastal region of Egypt. Variability in seismic source parameters reflects the level of cognitive uncertainty that exists because most of these destructive tsunamis, if not all, occurred in the pre-instrumental period. We also synthesized a set of hypothetical tsunamis constrained by seismotectonic knowledge of the area of influence to embrace the uncertainty. We also collected the topo-bathymetry information available to make a simulation on the scale of the Egyptian north coast. The multiple scenarios were computed considering references and hypothetical scenarios, and results were presented in maps and tables for wave heights, inundation depth, and estimated arrivals. Comparisons were made between the results calculated in this study and those from previous studies. These were done to identify and measure the reasons for the difference and similarities. The results may contribute to developing risk reduction strategies and a national early warning system. Variability in tsunami intensity measures is prepared for the hypothetical scenarios due to the difference in the fault’s magnitude, location, and geometry. Also, for the first time, temporally based scenarios the sea-level rise and delta sinking were considered in order to highlight the importance of multi-risk analysis for the region of interest. The insight on incorporating other hazards of the temporal resolution indicates a significant increase in inundated areas and wave height. Therefore, proper and detailed estimation of multi-hazard maps for the coastal region of the Nile Delta is highly required to protect the ongoing sustainable development and protect the people and their assets.

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Section: Sea Level Risementioning

confidence: 96%

Reappraisal of tsunami hazard for the Northern Coastal of Egypt considering sea level rise and delta subsidence scenarios

Kamhawy¹,

Hassan

El-Kosery

2023

Arab J Geosci

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“…These areas will face reductions in water availability as more frequent and intense drought events occur. While water availability will generally increase in northern regions, in summer periods availability of water may decrease and lead to drought spells (Jol et al 2008 in European Environmental Agency 2010). Agency 2010).…”

Section: Outlook and Reader Guidancementioning

confidence: 99%

Governance for Drought Resilience

Bressers¹,

Bressers²,

Larrue³

2016

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“…The results above have been confirmed by a recent study of the International Commission for Protection of the Rhine (ICPR) which assessed the state of knowledge on climate change. Because of the high uncertainty in projected precipitation, the uncertainty in the impact indicators that are linked to precipitation and water supply is high (Jol et al 2009). …”

Section: Temperature and Precipitation Projections For The Rhine Basinmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Change Risk Management in Transnational River Basins: The Rhine

Pelt

Swart

2011

Water Resour Manage

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Climate change is likely to have an impact on the discharge of the European river Rhine. To base adaptation strategies, to deal with these changing river discharges, on the best scientific and technical knowledge, it is important to understand potential climate impacts, as well as the capacity of social and natural systems to adapt. Both are characterized by large uncertainties, at different scales, that range from individual to local to regional to international. This review paper addresses three challenges. Dealing with climate change uncertainties for the development of adaptation strategies is the first challenge. We find that communication of uncertainties in support of river basin adaptation planning generally only covers a small part of the spectrum of prevailing uncertainties, e.g. by using only one model or scenario and one approach to deal with the uncertainties. The second challenge identified in this paper is to overcome the current mismatch of supply of scientific knowledge by scientists and the demand by policy makers. Early experiences with 'assess-risk-of-policy' approaches analysis of options, starting from the resilience of development plans, suggests that this approach better responds to policy makers' needs. The third challenge is to adequately capture the transnational character of the Rhine river basin in research and policy. Development and implementation of adaptation options derived from integrated analysis at the full river basin level, rather than within the boundaries of the riparian countries, can offer new opportunities, but will also meet many practical challenges.

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Impacts of Europe's changing climate – 2008 indicator based assessment

Cited by 26 publications

References 0 publications

Reappraisal of tsunami hazard for the Northern Coastal of Egypt considering sea level rise and delta subsidence scenarios

Reappraisal of tsunami hazard for the Northern Coastal of Egypt considering sea level rise and delta subsidence scenarios

Governance for Drought Resilience

Climate Change Risk Management in Transnational River Basins: The Rhine

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