“…Ecological niche modeling (ENM) of species distribution model is now widely used to computerize algorithms to predict the distributions of a species across a geographical space and time, based on observed distributions of a species as a function of environmental conditions ( Araújo and New, 2007 ). Several studies in Ethiopia have focused on its impacts on land use, land cover and livelihoods ( Bekele et al., 2018 ; Shiferaw et al., 2019a ; Zeray et al., 2017 ), spatial coverage in small geographical area in particular in Afar Regional State ( Shiferaw et al., 2019c , Shiferaw et al., 2019d ; Wakie et al., 2014 ), and biodiversity loss ( Mehari, 2015 ; Shiferaw et al., 2019c , Shiferaw et al., 2019d ; Zeray et al., 2017 ) in small geographical area in particular in Afar Regional State. However, a dearth of information on spatial distribution at national scale in Ethiopia and the relations between P. juliflora expansion and climate change dynamics as projected have been explored at a national level, in spite of the fact that this invasive plant species is rapidly expanding at the rate of 31,127 ha annually in Afar Regional State ( Shiferaw et al., 2019a ) and causing biodiversity loss ( Shiferaw et al., 2019c , Shiferaw et al., 2019d ; Wakie et al., 2014 ; Witt et al., 2018 ).…”