Implications of Policies to Prevent Climate Change for Future Food Security

Rosenberg, N. J.; Scott, M. J.; Downing, Tom

doi:10.1007/978-3-642-61086-8_21

Cited by 3 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 20 publications

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“…Furthermore, others have argued that farmers would actively adapt to changes, thereby further mitigating potential negative effects (Rosenberg and Scott, 1994). Rosenberg has suggested that studies which ignore this adaptation capacity are implicitly making a 'dumb farmer assumption'.…”

Section: Traditional 'Surprise-free' Climate Change Paradigm: C02-doumentioning

confidence: 99%

Ecological implications of climate change will include surprises

Schneider

Root

1996

Biodivers Conserv

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In addition to assessing the impacts of CO 2 doubling on environment and society, more consideration is needed to estimate extreme events or 'surprises'. This is particularly important at the intersection of disciplines like climate and ecology because the potential for large discontinuities is high given all the possible climate/biota interactions. The vast disparities in scales encountered by those working in traditional ecology (typically 20 m) and climatology (typically 200 kin) make diagnoses of such interactions difficult, but these can be addressed by an emerging research paradigm we call strategic cyclical scaling (SCS). The need to anticipate outlier events and assign them subjective probabilities suggests emphasis on interdisciplinary research associations. The desire to reduce societal vulnerability to such events suggests the need to build adaptive management and diverse economic activities into social organizations. The effectiveness of adaptation responses to anticipated climatic changes is complicated when consideration of transient changes, regional disturbances, large unforseeable natural fluctuations and surprises are considered. Slowing down the rate of disturbances and decreasing vulnerability are advocated as the most prudent responses to the prospect of human-induced climatic changes.

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Section: Traditional 'Surprise-free' Climate Change Paradigm: C02-doumentioning

confidence: 99%

Ecological implications of climate change will include surprises

Schneider

Root

1996

Biodivers Conserv

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“…Those studies constructed various economic models predicting the impact of global warming on food crisis in the 21st century, and especially in the low-latitude regions. [14][15][16][17][18] Two years later, there was a publication of an edited volume dealing with the impact of global warming on agriculture and food security in the semi-arid tropics of Africa, Asia, and America. 19 Some predictions are indeed gloomy: according to one forecast, by 2060, sub-Saharan Africa will lose one-third of her agricultural output potential, 20 while another prophecy predicts that by 2100 some African countries might be bereft of their agricultural production altogether.…”

Section: Climate and Subsistence Crises: Studying The Present And Forecasting The Futurementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Some advocate better institutional policy, based on a fairer and a better-monitored food distribution. 17 Other scholars believe that technological advances in climate control are a key factor in coping with famines. 23 Similarly, some scholars have drawn our attention to the likely impact of global warming on the spread of infectious diseases of humans.…”

Section: Climate and Subsistence Crises: Studying The Present And Forecasting The Futurementioning

confidence: 99%

“…For instance, in 1994 a special issue of Global Environmental Change was dedicated to the topic of climate change and global food security. Those studies constructed various economic models predicting the impact of global warming on food crisis in the 21st century, and especially in the low‐latitude regions . Two years later, there was a publication of an edited volume dealing with the impact of global warming on agriculture and food security in the semi‐arid tropics of Africa, Asia, and America .…”

Section: Climate and Subsistence Crises: Studying The Present And Forecasting The Futurementioning

confidence: 99%

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Climate and famines: a historical reassessment

Slavin

2016

WIREs Climate Change

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This study, dealing with the question of the impact of climate and extreme weather events on famines, has two objectives. The first objective is to review recent literature on the topic, distinguishing between economic and political science papers aimed at addressing contemporary famine events in the Third World countries, and historical research dealing with famines of the past. The former category of literature is characterized by a tendency to take the connection between the two variables for granted. The latter category, however, tends to exercise more analytical caution, but it still exhibits a degree of environmental determinism. The second objective of the article is to reassess the role and impact of climate and short-term weather anomalies on famines in pre-Industrial societies, in both European and non-European history. At first, it appears that famines went invariably hand-in-hand with climatic changes and anomalies. A closer analysis, however, reveals that those climatic events created environmental shocks (harvest failures and blights), which implied shortages, rather than famines. Whether those shortages were bound to transform into fullfledged famines was determined by nonenvironmental factors: primarily, human institutions and demographic trends. Climate alone, it is argued, is incapable of creating famines. The often unquestioned connection between the two variables appears to be an imaginary cultural and political construct of our era, when the fear of global warming and the awareness of climate change dominate the public and scholarly discourse.

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“…Similarly, policy scholars also see nuclear power as a key decarbonization strategy, particularly in cases where stringent emissions targets have been set. There are a few minor exceptions and corollaries to this generalization, but it is notable that, in general, scholars assume nuclear is a feasible and/or necessary climate solution (Bosetti et al 2009 ;Bush and Harvey 1997 ;Buttel et al 1990 ;den Elzen et al 2008 ;Green 2000 ;de Lucena et al 2010 ;Luderer et al 2012 ;Mander et al 2007 ;Mohnen et al 1991 ;Myhrvold and Caldeira 2012 ;Riahi et al 2011 ;Rosenberg and Scott 1994 ;Schultz et al 2003 ;Urban et al 2009 ). The industry groups -WNA and NEI -also beat this drum exceptionally loudly.…”

Section: Nuclear Power As Climate Policymentioning

confidence: 99%

Engineering Identities, Epistemologies and Values

2015

Philosophy of Engineering and Technology

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Implications of Policies to Prevent Climate Change for Future Food Security

Cited by 3 publications

References 20 publications

Ecological implications of climate change will include surprises

Ecological implications of climate change will include surprises

Climate and famines: a historical reassessment

Engineering Identities, Epistemologies and Values

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