Implications of the Milky Way travel velocity for dynamical mass estimates of the Local Group

Abstract

The total mass of the Local Group (LG) is a fundamental quantity that enables interpreting the orbits of its constituent galaxies and placing the LG in a cosmological context. One of the few methods that allows inferring the total mass directly is the "Timing Argument," which models the relative orbit of the Milky Way (MW) and M31. However, the MW itself is not in equilibrium, a byproduct of its merger history and the recent pericentric passage of the LMC/SMC. As a result, recent work has found that the MW disk is moving with a lower bound "travel velocity" of ∼ 32 km s −1 with respect to the outer stellar halo (Petersen & Peñarrubia 2021), thus biasing past Timing Argument measurements that do not account for this motion. We measure the total LG mass using a Timing Argument model that incorporates this measured travel velocity of the MW disk using several different compilations of recent kinematic measurements of M31. We find that incorporating the measured travel velocity lowers the inferred LG mass by 10-20% compared to a static MW halo, and find an updated total mass of either 4.0 +0.5 −0.3 × 10 12 M or 4.5 +0.8 −0.6 × 10 12 M depending on the adopted dataset. Measurements of the travel velocity with more distant tracers could yield even larger values, which would further decrease the inferred LG mass. Therefore, the newly measured travel velocity directly implies a lower LG mass than from a model with a static MW halo and must be considered in future dynamical studies of the Local Volume.