Import Uncertainty and Export Dynamics

Vijil, Mariana; Wagner, L; Woldemichael, Martha Tesfaye

doi:10.1596/1813-9450-8793

Cited by 6 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 65 publications

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“…Related to this point, the literature (e.g. the study [32] show that border-related delays may hinder export development. Sector effects are also estimated to be significant and positive for Textile and Garments and Chemicals.…”

Section: Analysis Of Determinants Of Export Intensitymentioning

confidence: 94%

Determinants of Export Decisions by Manufacturing Firms in Botswana

Sebolao¹,

Sekwati²,

Bakwena³

2019

IJBER

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The paper examines determinants of export decisions and export intensity by manufacturing firms in Botswana, a developing country in Sub-Saharan Africa. Manufacturing, is one of several sectors through which the government seeks to pursue the all-important diversification of the economy. Botswana's economy is heavily dependent on a diamond sector that in recent years has been declining, and is expected to decline further as diamond resources dwindle. Manufacturing is one of the sectors expected to play an important role in driving the expansion of the economic base. This paper contributes to the debate on policies to promote the growth of the sector. The paper examines factors likely to influence firms decisions to participate in global markets. Global markets provide a higher potential for firms to grow and make a meaningful impact in the economy. The paper applies Probit and Tobit models to firm level data to identify determinants of the decision to export and analyse export intensity respectively. The results of the Probit model show that firm age, firm size, human capital and access to finance increase rge likelihood of entering the export markets. On export intensity, results from the Tobit model show that firm size, human capital and firm location matter. The results suggest that economic gains can be expected from improving access and quality of education. Access to finance, and sea ports. Sector specific policies are also likely to benefit firms in textile and garments and chemicals.

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Section: Analysis Of Determinants Of Export Intensitymentioning

confidence: 94%

Determinants of Export Decisions by Manufacturing Firms in Botswana

Sebolao¹,

Sekwati²,

Bakwena³

2019

IJBER

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“…Focusing on the effects from a policy reform-induced decline in the rate of customs inspections in Albania, Fernandes et al (2015) find that the resulting reduction in the amount and in the variability of time spent at customs increased import values significantly. Vijil et al (2019) emphasize that the uncertainty about import times can be particularly damaging for international supply chains in which exporters tend to rely on imported inputs. They find that uncertainty in import clearance times lowers new exporters' survival rates and thus has a distinctive influence on the export performance of developing countries.…”

Section: Transport and Travel Costsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The WTO Global Trade Costs Index and Its Determinants

Rubínová¹,

Sebti²

2021

WTO Working Papers

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‡ Without implicating them, we thank Eddy Bekkers, Roberta Piermartini and the participants of the workshop on 'Trade Facilitation in Services: Concept and Empirical Analysis' in New Delhi for valuable comments and suggestions. This paper is not meant to represent the positions or opinions of the WTO or its Members, nor the official position of any WTO staff, and is without prejudice to Members' rights and obligations under the WTO. All errors are our own.

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“…Our paper is also related to the growing group of studies that use import and export data at the firm level to investigate the linkages between imports and exports along GVCs, and various policy effects on importing exporters (Bas 2012;Bas and Strauss-Kahn 2014;Aristei, Castellani, and Franco 2013;Vijil, Wagner, and Woldemichael 2019). 3 In the world of GVCs, firms' imports play a key role in their export performance.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Trade Facilitation Provisions in Preferential Trade Agreements: Impact on Peru's Exporters

Lee¹,

Rocha²,

Ruta³

2021

Policy Research Working Papers

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The Policy Research Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about development issues. An objective of the series is to get the findings out quickly, even if the presentations are less than fully polished. The papers carry the names of the authors and should be cited accordingly. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the authors. They do not necessarily represent the views of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/World Bank and its affiliated organizations, or those of the Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments they represent.

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Import Uncertainty and Export Dynamics

Cited by 6 publications

References 65 publications

Determinants of Export Decisions by Manufacturing Firms in Botswana

Determinants of Export Decisions by Manufacturing Firms in Botswana

The WTO Global Trade Costs Index and Its Determinants

Trade Facilitation Provisions in Preferential Trade Agreements: Impact on Peru's Exporters

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