2022
DOI: 10.3390/jpm12050756
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Important Risk Factors in Patients with Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation Taking Dabigatran Using Integrated Machine Learning Scheme—A Post Hoc Analysis

Abstract: Our study aims to develop an effective integrated machine learning (ML) scheme to predict vascular events and bleeding in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation taking dabigatran and identify important risk factors. This study is a post-hoc analysis from the Randomized Evaluation of Long-Term Anticoagulant Therapy trial database. One traditional prediction method, logistic regression (LGR), and four ML techniques—naive Bayes, random forest (RF), classification and regression tree, and extreme gradient b… Show more

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Cited by 16 publications
(15 citation statements)
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“…Given the fact that the performance of prediction depends on the data source and methods used, we hypothesized that ML methods applied to a large and recent patient dataset with a wide range of variables could produce a risk model with superior performance compared to these existing scores. Indeed, ML methods have already been used in a few studies to predict vascular events, such as bleeding events [ 33 , 34 ]. However, once again, these studies were focused on specific contexts and did not consider the prescribing determinants (DDI, PIM, and PIM–DDI) in their analysis.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Given the fact that the performance of prediction depends on the data source and methods used, we hypothesized that ML methods applied to a large and recent patient dataset with a wide range of variables could produce a risk model with superior performance compared to these existing scores. Indeed, ML methods have already been used in a few studies to predict vascular events, such as bleeding events [ 33 , 34 ]. However, once again, these studies were focused on specific contexts and did not consider the prescribing determinants (DDI, PIM, and PIM–DDI) in their analysis.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This algorithm can sort objects according to specific characteristics and variables based on the Bayes theorem, estimating the values of dependent variable ( y ). 32…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This algorithm can sort objects according to specific characteristics and variables based on the Bayes theorem, estimating the values of dependent variable (y). 32 The third method in this study is RF, an ensemble learning decision tree algorithm that combines bootstrap resampling and bagging. 33 RF works by randomly generating many different and unpruned CART decision trees, where the decrease in Gini impurity is used as the splitting criterion.…”
Section: Proposed Schemementioning
confidence: 99%
“…The application of data-driven machine learning (ML) algorithms to the analysis of healthcare data and/or medical records is not uncommon, and there is even an increasing trend in publications introducing artificial intelligence technology [ 20 , 21 , 22 , 23 ]. The advantages of ML algorithms include the effective investigation of complex relationships between risk factors and outcomes, and promising predictive performance with vast amounts of medical data [ 22 , 23 , 24 , 25 , 26 ]. Our study used five ML techniques—stochastic gradient boosting (SGB), multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression (Lasso), ridge logistic regression (Ridge), and gradient boosting with categorical features support (CatBoost)—to develop a multi-stage ML algorithm-based prediction scheme.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%